Sydney vs Carlton: Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2023
Last updated: May 26, 2023, 9:41AM | Published: May 22, 2023, 1:05AM
Sydney squares off with Carlton in AFL Round 11 action at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, beginning at 7:50pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Sydney vs Carlton, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 11, 2023
Who Will Win: Sydney vs Carlton
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Sydney-Carlton AFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model is currently unable to split the two teams, giving both Sydney and Carlton an equal 50% chance of winning in Round 11 of the AFL season.
More: Sydney vs Carlton Simulated 10,000 Times
Sydney vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Sydney Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Sydney $2.02, Carlton $1.97
- Line: Sydney +3.5 ($1.80), Carlton -3.5 ($2.18)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $2.04, Under $1.93
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Sydney to win at $2.02 and Carlton to win at $1.97.
The Swans are 3.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.80 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Blues (-3.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.18.
The Over/Under for Sydney vs Carlton is set at 164.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.04 and odds for the Under at $1.93.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Swans (+3.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 164.5-point Over/Under has a 58% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Match
Sydney vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Sydney at $2.02 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Line: Carlton -3.5 at $2.18 with Betfair (0.1% edge)
- Total Points: Under 164.5 at $1.93 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Today's Sydney vs Carlton predictions are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Swans are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Blues -3.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Sydney vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted score for Sydney vs Carlton at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday is Blues 80-80 Swans.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Sydney vs Carlton on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Sydney vs Carlton: Goal Kickers
Looking for Sydney vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Sydney vs Carlton.
Curnow has a 9.5% chance of kicking the first goal at the Sydney Cricket Ground, while the Blues star has a 93.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Sydney
- Lance Franklin: 7.0% probability
- Tom Papley: 5.9% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 5.3% probability
- Will Hayward: 4.6% probability
- Hayden McLean: 3.2% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 9.5% probability
- Harry McKay: 8.8% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.8% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 3.6% probability
- Corey Durdin: 2.9% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Sydney
- Lance Franklin: 85.7% probability
- Tom Papley: 80.5% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 78.3% probability
- Will Hayward: 73.7% probability
- Hayden McLean: 57.1% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 93.1% probability
- Harry McKay: 91.3% probability
- Matthew Owies: 72.7% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 64.3% probability
- Corey Durdin: 57.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Sydney vs Carlton match at the Sydney Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Sydney vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Swans and Blues at the Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.
- Game: Sydney vs Carlton
- Date: Friday 26 May 2023
- Time: 7:50pm AEST
- Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Sydney vs Carlton have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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