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Sydney vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 2, 2024

Sydney will take on Essendon in AFL Round 2 action at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 7:30pm AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Sydney vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Sydney vs Essendon

Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Sydney-Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Swans an 80% chance of defeating the Bombers at the Sydney Cricket Ground.

More: Sydney vs Essendon Match Centre

Sydney vs Essendon: Odds

The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Sydney Cricket Ground are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Sydney $1.23, Essendon $5.20
  • Line: Sydney -28.5 ($2.06), Essendon +28.5 ($1.93)
  • Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.82

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Sydney at $1.23 and Essendon at $5.20.

The Swans are 28.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $2.06 currently on offer at TAB.

For the underdog Bombers (+28.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.93.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.82.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Bombers (+28.5) have a 58% chance of covering the line, while the 168.5-point Over/Under has a 57% chance of staying Under.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports

Sydney vs Essendon: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Essendon at $5.20 with (1.2% edge)
  • Line: Essendon +28.5 at $1.93 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
  • Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.82 with Betfair (57% probability)

Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.

Today's Sydney vs Essendon predictions are based on market-leading modelling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Swans have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our recommended option due to the 1.2% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

Looking for further insight on Round 2 AFL action? Matt from Champion Bets has put his knowledge and background as a data scientist to work, finding markets that are easier to win money on.

He then uses this knowledge to provide you with the best bets of every AFL round straight to you.

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Sydney vs Essendon: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Sydney vs Essendon at the Sydney Cricket Ground this Saturday has Sydney winning 93-71.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Sydney vs Essendon on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Sydney vs Essendon: Goal Kickers

Searching for Sydney vs Essendon goal kicker tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Sydney's Tom Papley is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Sydney vs Essendon.

Papley has a 7.2% chance of kicking the first goal at the Sydney Cricket Ground, while the Swans star has an 86.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Sydney

  • Tom Papley: 7.2% probability
  • Isaac Heeney: 6.5% probability
  • Logan McDonald: 6.4% probability
  • Will Hayward: 5.0% probability
  • Joel Amartey: 5.0% probability

Essendon

  • Peter Wright: 6.1% probability
  • Jake Stringer: 4.9% probability
  • Kyle Langford: 4.6% probability
  • Jye Menzie: 3.3% probability
  • Jade Gresham: 2.8% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

Sydney

  • Tom Papley: 86.5% probability
  • Isaac Heeney: 84.0% probability
  • Logan McDonald: 82.4% probability
  • Joel Amartey: 75.6% probability
  • Will Hayward: 74.4% probability

Essendon

  • Peter Wright: 84.1% probability
  • Jake Stringer: 76.6% probability
  • Kyle Langford: 76.0% probability
  • Jye Menzie: 58.9% probability
  • Jade Gresham: 57.3% probability

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Sydney vs Essendon game at the Sydney Cricket Ground.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Sydney vs Essendon: Preview

The AFL Round 2 clash between the Swans and Bombers at the Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEDT on Saturday.

  • Teams: Sydney vs Essendon
  • Date: Saturday 23 March 2024
  • Time: 7:30pm AEDT
  • Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our Sydney vs Essendon predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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