Sydney vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Opening Round, 2024
Last updated: Mar 7, 2024, 8:02AM | Published: Mar 5, 2024, 3:29AM
Sydney will take on Melbourne in AFL Opening Round action at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Sydney vs Melbourne game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Sydney vs Melbourne
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Sydney-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 62% chance of winning against the Demons in the Opening Round of 2024 AFL season.
More: Sydney vs Melbourne Match Centre
Sydney vs Melbourne: Odds
The current betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Sydney Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Sydney $1.96, Melbourne $2.02
- Line: Sydney -1.5 ($2.00), Melbourne +1.5 ($1.97)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $2.02, Under $1.92
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Sydney at $1.96 and Melbourne at $2.02.
The Swans are listed as 1.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $2.00 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Demons (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.97.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 165.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.02 and odds for the Under at $1.92.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Swans (-1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 165.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Sydney vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Sydney at $1.96 with (62% probability) 🔥
- Line: Sydney -1.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (60% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 165.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (50% probability)
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips for today across all sports.
These Sydney vs Melbourne best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
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Sydney vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Sydney vs Melbourne at the Sydney Cricket Ground this Thursday has Sydney winning 87-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Sydney vs Melbourne on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live updates.
Sydney vs Melbourne: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Sydney vs Melbourne goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Melbourne's Bayley Fritsch is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Sydney vs Melbourne.
Fritsch has a 7.9% chance of kicking the first goal at the Sydney Cricket Ground, while the Demons star has an 89.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 6.0% probability
- Logan McDonald: 6.0% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 5.3% probability
- Joel Amartey: 4.4% probability
- Will Hayward: 4.0% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 7.9% probability
- Christian Petracca: 5.4% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 4.6% probability
- Josh Schache: 4.3% probability
- Kade Chandler: 3.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 80.3% probability
- Logan McDonald: 80.0% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 76.2% probability
- Joel Amartey: 70.1% probability
- Will Hayward: 66.4% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 89.5% probability
- Christian Petracca: 76.6% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 70.0% probability
- Josh Schache: 68.8% probability
- Kade Chandler: 55.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Sydney vs Melbourne match at the Sydney Cricket Ground.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Sydney vs Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Opening Round clash between the Swans and Demons at the Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Sydney vs Melbourne
- Date: Thursday 7 March 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEDT
- Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Sydney vs Melbourne predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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