Sydney vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 24, 2023

Last updated: Aug 26, 2023, 1:41PM | Published: Aug 20, 2023, 2:03PM

Sydney faces Melbourne in AFL Round 24 action at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Sunday, beginning at 3:20pm AEST.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Sydney vs Melbourne, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.

More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 24, 2023

Who Will Win: Sydney vs Melbourne

Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Sydney-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Swans a 56% chance of winning against the Demons at the Sydney Cricket Ground.

More: Sydney vs Melbourne Match Centre

Sydney vs Melbourne: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Sydney Cricket Ground are listed below:

Head to Head: Sydney $1.85, Melbourne $2.14
Line: Sydney -2.5 ($1.88), Melbourne +2.5 ($1.88)
Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.89

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Sydney at $1.85 and Melbourne at $2.14.

The Swans are 2.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $1.88 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Demons (+2.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.88.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 164.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.89 and odds for the Under at $1.89.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Swans (-2.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 164.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of staying Under.

More: AFL Premiership 2023 Probabilities and Odds

Sydney vs Melbourne: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Sydney at $1.85 with Betfair (56% probability)
Line: Sydney -2.5 at $1.88 with Betfair (52% probability)
Total Points: Under 164.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (54% probability)

These Sydney vs Melbourne best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 24

Sydney vs Melbourne: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Sydney vs Melbourne at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Sunday has Sydney prevailing 83-78.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Sydney vs Melbourne on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Sydney vs Melbourne: Goal Scorers

Looking for Sydney vs Melbourne goal kicker tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Melbourne's Bayley Fritsch is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Sydney vs Melbourne.

Fritsch has a 6.7% chance of kicking the first goal at the Sydney Cricket Ground, while the Demons star has an 85.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips

Sydney

Tom Papley: 6.3% probability
Isaac Heeney: 6.2% probability
Logan McDonald: 4.7% probability
Joel Amartey: 4.5% probability
Will Hayward: 4.2% probability

Melbourne

Bayley Fritsch: 6.7% probability
Kysaiah Pickett: 5.2% probability
Jacob van Rooyen: 4.9% probability
Jake Melksham: 4.8% probability
Christian Petracca: 4.6% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Sydney

Tom Papley: 81.7% probability
Isaac Heeney: 81.6% probability
Joel Amartey: 70.7% probability
Logan McDonald: 68.7% probability
Will Hayward: 67.6% probability

Melbourne

Bayley Fritsch: 85.5% probability
Kysaiah Pickett: 76.4% probability
Jake Melksham: 75.2% probability
Jacob van Rooyen: 73.2% probability
Christian Petracca: 72.7% probability

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Sydney vs Melbourne match at the Sydney Cricket Ground.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2023

Sydney vs Melbourne: Preview

The AFL Round 24 clash between the Swans and Demons at the Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.

Teams: Sydney vs Melbourne
Date: Sunday 27 August 2023
Time: 3:20pm AEST
Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our predictions for Sydney vs Melbourne have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.