Texans vs Bills Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2024
Last updated: Oct 6, 2024, 5:01PM | Published: Sep 29, 2024, 11:40PM
The Houston Texans will sqaure off with the Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 5 action at NRG Stadium on Monday, beginning at 4:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Texans vs Bills game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Houston vs Buffalo NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Texans a 54% chance of winning against the Bills at NRG Stadium.
Texans vs Bills: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at NRG Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Texans $1.80, Bills $2.05
- Line: Texans -1.5 ($1.91), Bills +1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Texans at $1.80 and the Bills at $2.05.
The Texans are 1.5-point favourites against the Bills, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bills (+1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Texans and the Bills have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 48-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Texans vs Bills: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Houston at $1.80 with Bet365
- Line: Bills +1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48 at $1.91 with Bet365
Texans vs Bills: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Texans vs Bills at NRG Stadium in Week 5 is the Texans prevailing 24-23.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Houston vs Buffalo game in Week 5, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Texans vs Bills prediction.
Texans vs Bills: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs Bills? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's Josh Allen is the most likely player to score the first TD in Texans vs Bills.
Allen has an 11.2% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Bills QB has a 47.1% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Texans First TD Tips
- Nico Collins: 9.8% probability
- Cam Akers: 8.1% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 8.1% probability
- Tank Dell: 7.9% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 4.4% probability
Bills First TD Tips
- Josh Allen: 11.2% probability
- James Cook: 9.4% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 5.6% probability
- Keon Coleman: 5.3% probability
- Mack Hollins: 4.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- Nico Collins: 44.2% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 37.5% probability
- Cam Akers: 36.8% probability
- Tank Dell: 35.2% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 21.5% probability
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- Josh Allen: 47.1% probability
- James Cook: 42.7% probability
- Keon Coleman: 26.0% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 26.0% probability
- Mack Hollins: 20.6% probability
Texans-Bills Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 294 passing yards. The Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 236 yards.
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 294 projected passing yards
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 236 projected passing yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- Cam Akers: 48 projected yards
- J.J. Taylor: 14 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 13 projected yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 64 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 35 projected yards
- Ray Davis: 19 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Nico Collins: 93 projected yards
- Stefon Diggs: 58 projected yards
- Tank Dell: 50 projected yards
- Dalton Schultz: 32 projected yards
- Dare Ogunbowale: 17 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 44 projected yards
- Keon Coleman: 43 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 27 projected yards
- Curtis Samuel: 25 projected yards
- James Cook: 18 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Houston vs Buffalo match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Texans vs Bills: Week 5 Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 game between the Texans and Bills at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills
- Date: Monday 7 October 2024
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: NRG Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Houston vs Buffalo predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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