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Texans vs Dolphins Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 15, 2024

The Houston Texans will face the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 15 action at NRG Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Texans vs Dolphins game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Houston vs Miami NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Texans a 59% chance of beating the Dolphins at NRG Stadium.

Texans vs Dolphins: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at NRG Stadium are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Texans $1.67, Dolphins $2.25
  • Line: Texans -2.5 ($1.91), Dolphins +2.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Texans at $1.67 and the Dolphins at $2.25.

The Texans are listed as 2.5-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Dolphins (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Dolphins (+2.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Texans vs Dolphins: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Houston at $1.67 with Bet365
  • Line: Dolphins +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
Our Texans vs Dolphins predictions are based on world-class simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Texans vs Dolphins: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Texans vs Dolphins at NRG Stadium in Week 15 is the Texans winning 23-21.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Houston vs Miami game in Week 15, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Texans vs Dolphins prediction.

Texans vs Dolphins: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs Dolphins? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Houston's Joe Mixon is the most likely player to score the first TD in Texans vs Dolphins.

Mixon has a 15.6% chance of getting in for six first at NRG Stadium, while the Texans RB has a 59.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans First TD Tips

  • Joe Mixon: 15.6% probability
  • Nico Collins: 10.4% probability
  • Tank Dell: 8.4% probability
  • Dalton Schultz: 5.6% probability
  • C.J. Stroud: 4.1% probability

Dolphins First TD Tips

  • De'Von Achane: 12.7% probability
  • Tyreek Hill: 7.8% probability
  • Jonnu Smith: 7.7% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 5.5% probability
  • Jaylen Wright: 3.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans Anytime TD Tips

  • Joe Mixon: 59.6% probability
  • Nico Collins: 44.9% probability
  • Tank Dell: 36.4% probability
  • Dalton Schultz: 27.5% probability
  • C.J. Stroud: 19.4% probability

Dolphins Anytime TD Tips

  • De'Von Achane: 52.1% probability
  • Tyreek Hill: 35.4% probability
  • Jonnu Smith: 34.1% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 27.4% probability
  • Jaylen Wright: 19.8% probability

Texans-Dolphins Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to have a big game with 304 passing yards. The Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 233 yards.

Texans Starting QB

  • C.J. Stroud: 304 projected passing yards

Dolphins Starting QB

  • Tua Tagovailoa: 233 projected passing yards

Texans Rushing Yards

  • Joe Mixon: 79 projected yards
  • C.J. Stroud: 14 projected yards
  • Dameon Pierce: 7 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing Yards

  • De'Von Achane: 67 projected yards
  • Jaylen Wright: 24 projected yards
  • Raheem Mostert: 19 projected yards

Texans Receiving Yards

  • Nico Collins: 93 projected yards
  • Tank Dell: 54 projected yards
  • Dalton Schultz: 45 projected yards
  • Joe Mixon: 26 projected yards
  • Robert Woods: 19 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving Yards

  • Tyreek Hill: 68 projected yards
  • Jaylen Waddle: 56 projected yards
  • Jonnu Smith: 52 projected yards
  • De'Von Achane: 31 projected yards
  • Malik Washington: 16 projected yards

Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Houston vs Miami game.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Texans vs Dolphins: Week 15 Essential Details

The NFL Week 15 game between the Texans and Dolphins at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Houston vs Miami predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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