Texans vs Jaguars Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2024
Last updated: Sep 29, 2024, 5:01PM | Published: Sep 22, 2024, 11:30PM
The Houston Texans will sqaure off with the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 4 action at NRG Stadium on Monday, beginning at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Texans vs Jaguars game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Houston vs Jacksonville NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Texans a 70% chance of winning against the Jaguars in Week 4 of the NFL season.
Texans vs Jaguars: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at NRG Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Texans $1.38, Jaguars $3.10
- Line: Texans -5.5 ($1.91), Jaguars +5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Texans at $1.38 and the Jaguars at $3.10.
The Texans are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Jaguars, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Jaguars (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Texans and the Jaguars have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 44.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Texans vs Jaguars: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Houston at $1.38 with Bet365
- Line: Jaguars +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Texans vs Jaguars: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Texans vs Jaguars at NRG Stadium in Week 4 is the Texans winning 25-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Houston vs Jacksonville game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Texans vs Jaguars prediction.
Texans vs Jaguars: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs Jaguars? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Houston's Nico Collins is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Texans vs Jaguars.
Collins has a 10.8% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Texans WR has a 44.3% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Texans First TD Tips
- Nico Collins: 10.8% probability
- Joe Mixon: 10.5% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 9.7% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 6.1% probability
- Cam Akers: 5.0% probability
Jaguars First TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 9.7% probability
- Christian Kirk: 7.4% probability
- Gabe Davis: 6.8% probability
- Brian Thomas: 6.5% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 5.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- Nico Collins: 44.3% probability
- Joe Mixon: 44.1% probability
- Stefon Diggs: 40.0% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 26.9% probability
- Cam Akers: 23.2% probability
Jaguars Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 42.8% probability
- Christian Kirk: 32.6% probability
- Gabe Davis: 30.4% probability
- Brian Thomas: 29.0% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 24.0% probability
Texans-Jaguars Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to have a big game with 301 passing yards. The Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 228 yards.
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 301 projected passing yards
Jaguars Starting QB
- Trevor Lawrence: 228 projected passing yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- Joe Mixon: 57 projected yards
- Cam Akers: 26 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 13 projected yards
Jaguars Rushing Yards
- Travis Etienne: 55 projected yards
- Trevor Lawrence: 21 projected yards
- Tank Bigsby: 15 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Nico Collins: 89 projected yards
- Stefon Diggs: 59 projected yards
- Dalton Schultz: 38 projected yards
- Joe Mixon: 20 projected yards
- Robert Woods: 20 projected yards
Jaguars Receiving Yards
- Christian Kirk: 57 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 47 projected yards
- Brian Thomas: 45 projected yards
- Travis Etienne: 26 projected yards
- Luke Farrell: 12 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Houston vs Jacksonville game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Texans vs Jaguars: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Texans and Jaguars at NRG Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Monday 30 September 2024
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: NRG Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Houston vs Jacksonville predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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