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Texans vs Lions Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 10, 2024

The Houston Texans will take on the favoured Detroit Lions in NFL Week 10 action at NRG Stadium on Monday, starting at 12:20pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Texans vs Lions game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Houston vs Detroit NFL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 65% chance of defeating the Texans at NRG Stadium.

Texans vs Lions: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at NRG Stadium are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Texans $2.80, Lions $1.45
  • Line: Texans +4 ($1.91), Lions -4 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 49 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Texans at $2.80 and the Lions at $1.45.

The Texans are listed as 4-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Lions (-4) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 49 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Lions (-4) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 49-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Texans vs Lions: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Houston at $2.80 with Bet365
  • Line: Lions -4 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 49 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
Our Texans vs Lions predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Texans to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.

Texans vs Lions: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Texans vs Lions at NRG Stadium in Week 10 is the Lions winning 26-22.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Houston vs Detroit game in Week 10, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Texans vs Lions: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs Lions? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Houston's Joe Mixon is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Texans vs Lions.

Mixon has a 15.7% chance of getting in for six first at NRG Stadium, while the Texans RB has a 62.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans First TD Tips

  • Joe Mixon: 15.7% probability
  • Tank Dell: 9.4% probability
  • Dalton Schultz: 6.1% probability
  • C.J. Stroud: 3.8% probability
  • Robert Woods: 3.6% probability

Lions First TD Tips

  • David Montgomery: 13.3% probability
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 11.7% probability
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9.3% probability
  • Jameson Williams: 6.0% probability
  • Sam LaPorta: 5.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans Anytime TD Tips

  • Joe Mixon: 62.8% probability
  • Tank Dell: 43.5% probability
  • Dalton Schultz: 30.8% probability
  • C.J. Stroud: 20.3% probability
  • Robert Woods: 18.4% probability

Lions Anytime TD Tips

  • David Montgomery: 55.1% probability
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 49.1% probability
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 41.5% probability
  • Jameson Williams: 29.0% probability
  • Sam LaPorta: 28.1% probability

Texans-Lions Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 260 passing yards. The Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 211 yards.

Texans Starting QB

  • C.J. Stroud: 260 projected passing yards

Lions Starting QB

  • Jared Goff: 211 projected passing yards

Texans Rushing Yards

  • Joe Mixon: 75 projected yards
  • C.J. Stroud: 13 projected yards
  • Tank Dell: 8 projected yards

Lions Rushing Yards

  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 60 projected yards
  • David Montgomery: 59 projected yards
  • Jared Goff: 7 projected yards

Texans Receiving Yards

  • Tank Dell: 75 projected yards
  • Dalton Schultz: 48 projected yards
  • John Metchie: 31 projected yards
  • Robert Woods: 22 projected yards
  • Joe Mixon: 21 projected yards

Lions Receiving Yards

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 82 projected yards
  • Jameson Williams: 44 projected yards
  • Sam LaPorta: 36 projected yards
  • Tim Patrick: 24 projected yards
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 23 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Houston vs Detroit game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Texans vs Lions: Week 10 Essential Details

The NFL Week 10 match-up between the Texans and Lions at NRG Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:20pm AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Houston vs Detroit predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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