Texans vs Steelers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2023
Last updated: Oct 1, 2023, 5:01PM | Published: Sep 26, 2023, 4:03AM
The Houston Texans take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 4 action at NRG Stadium on Monday, commencing at 4:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Texans vs Steelers, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Texans vs Steelers
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Houston-Pittsburgh NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Steelers a 57% chance of defeating the Texans in Week 4 of the NFL season.
More: Texans vs Steelers Match Centre
Texans vs Steelers: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at NRG Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Texans $2.30, Steelers $1.67
- Line: Texans +3 ($1.91), Steelers -3 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 41 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Texans at $2.30 and the Steelers at $1.67.
The Texans are listed as 3-point underdogs against the Steelers, with odds of $1.91 currently available at bet365.
For the favourite Steelers (-3) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 41 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Texans (+3) have a 58% chance of covering the line, while the 41-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going Over.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Texans vs Steelers: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Houston at $2.30 with bet365 (0.6% edge)
- Line: Texans +3 at $1.91 with bet365 (58% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 41 at $1.91 with PointsBet (55% probability)
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.
These Texans vs Steelers betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
While the Steelers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Texans to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Texans vs Steelers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Texans vs Steelers at NRG Stadium in Week 4 has the Steelers winning 22-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Houston vs Pittsburgh in Week 4, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Texans vs Steelers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs Steelers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Pittsburgh's Najee Harris is the most likely player to score the first TD in Texans vs Steelers.
Harris has a 12.6% chance of getting in for six first at NRG Stadium, while the Steelers RB has a 47.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Texans First TD Tips
- Dameon Pierce: 8.4% probability
- Nico Collins: 8.3% probability
- Tank Dell: 6.2% probability
- Devin Singletary: 6.0% probability
- Robert Woods: 5.5% probability
Steelers First TD Tips
- Najee Harris: 12.6% probability
- George Pickens: 9.9% probability
- Calvin Austin: 7.6% probability
- Pat Freiermuth: 6.7% probability
- Jaylen Warren: 6.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- Dameon Pierce: 35.6% probability
- Nico Collins: 34.8% probability
- Devin Singletary: 26.4% probability
- Tank Dell: 26.0% probability
- Robert Woods: 24.5% probability
Steelers Anytime TD Tips
- Najee Harris: 47.1% probability
- George Pickens: 38.3% probability
- Calvin Austin: 31.5% probability
- Jaylen Warren: 26.6% probability
- Pat Freiermuth: 26.2% probability
Texans-Steelers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 203 passing yards, while the Steelers' Kenny Pickett is expected to throw for 211 yards.
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 203 projected passing yards
Steelers Starting QB
- Kenny Pickett: 211 projected passing yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- Dameon Pierce: 56 projected yards
- Devin Singletary: 27 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 16 projected yards
Steelers Rushing Yards
- Najee Harris: 56 projected yards
- Jaylen Warren: 21 projected yards
- Kenny Pickett: 16 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Tank Dell: 48 projected yards
- Nico Collins: 48 projected yards
- Robert Woods: 37 projected yards
- Dalton Schultz: 26 projected yards
- Brevin Jordan: 16 projected yards
Steelers Receiving Yards
- George Pickens: 58 projected yards
- Pat Freiermuth: 35 projected yards
- Calvin Austin: 32 projected yards
- Allen Robinson: 25 projected yards
- Jaylen Warren: 23 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Houston vs Pittsburgh match-up at NRG Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Texans vs Steelers: Week 4 Preview
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Texans and Steelers at NRG Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers
- Date: Monday 2 October 2023
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: NRG Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Houston vs Pittsburgh are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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