The Punt Return: Betting on the NFL - Week 13 Thanksgiving Special

Nick, James & Josh are back from an underwhelming Week 12 for the annual Thanksgiving Edition of The Punt Return.

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They open the show listing everything they are thankful for and in particular it’s the exciting young blood we have at the quarterback positions in the NFL that have them talking.

Nick mentions that, for the first time in close to 18 months, the Stats Insider Model has a team not named “The New England Patriots” favourite to win the Super Bowl.

The guys recap their lukewarm Week 12 betting results, with the 2-0 Lock of the Week record being an absolute shining light. In looking back at Week 12, only two teams really came to mind for the boys: the Baltimore Ravens and the San Francisco 49ers. 

Josh mentions that John Harbaugh is his frontrunner for 'Coach of the Year' while Nick asks if the MVP race is over?

Funnily enough, the two hottest teams in all of sports, play each other in Week 13 in what could be a Super Bowl preview. Before getting to that game later in their comprehensive Week 13 preview, the guys look at the Thanksgiving slate with three Friday (AEST) games on the cards. 

The pick of the Thanksgiving day slate is Buffalo and Dallas. James mentions that the Cowboys are a top 5 team in the NFL against the spread, when coming off a loss in the Dak Prescott & Ezekiel Elliott era.

The guys are expecting plenty of fireworks in the deadly rematch between the Browns and the Steelers just two weeks after the Myles Garrett and Mason Rudolph incident. The Steelers have made a change at the quarterback position and it’s that change that has Josh excited about the Steelers prospects in this game. He’s all aboard the Devlin “Duck” Hodges Train. Quack Quack!

The obvious matchup of the week between the Ravens & 49ers had the guys busting out all sorts of statistics to make their case. While Nick again rides the hot hand of Lamar Jackson, he has been talking up the improved play of Jimmy G over the last month. James mentions the insane turnaround of the Ravens secondary after a torturous first six weeks, with Josh highlighting the mismatch on the defensive line for the 49ers with Ravens center Matt Skura placed on IR this week. This led to a split panel for the spread pick in this match.

The Week 13 podcast also features a reversal of apologies by James & Nick to the Oakland Raiders, an AFC South Immunity Badge (whatever the hell that is), some Derwin James love and Josh has a stat on a team's ATS record when playing under a retractable roof.

As always the the show ends with Best Bets, Long Shots, a James moneyline parlay and a quick look at the Stats Insider model's favourite plays.

For every game and more, have a listen to the Week 13 edition of the Punt Return Podcast, and don't forget to subscribe and leave a review on your favourite podcast platform!

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