Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction and NBA Tips - 21 April 2025
Apr 20, 2025, 7:05AM
The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Memphis Grizzlies in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Paycom Center on Monday, beginning at 3:00am AEST.
With star players Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are looking to overcome a Grizzlies line-up that includes Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson and Desmond Bane.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Thunder vs Grizzlies game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Oklahoma City vs Memphis NBA Playoffs game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Thunder an 84% chance of winning against the Grizzlies at Paycom Center.
Thunder vs Grizzlies: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NBA game at Paycom Center are listed here:
- Head to Head: Thunder $1.11, Grizzlies $7.00
- Line: Thunder -13 ($1.95), Grizzlies +13 ($1.87)
- Total (Over/Under 231.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Thunder at $1.11 and the Grizzlies at $7.00.
The Thunder are 13-point favourites against the Grizzlies, with odds of $1.95 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Grizzlies (+13) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.87.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 231.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Grizzlies (+13) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 231.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Thunder vs Grizzlies: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Memphis at $7.00 with Bet365
- Line: Grizzlies +13 at $1.87 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 231.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Thunder vs Grizzlies predictions are based on complex modelling and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Grizzlies to win is our preferred option due to the 2.0% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Thunder vs Grizzlies: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Grizzlies at Paycom Center on Monday is the Thunder winning 121-109.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Oklahoma City vs Memphis game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Thunder vs Grizzlies prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Oklahoma City vs Memphis game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Thunder vs Grizzlies: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Thunder and Grizzlies in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to tip off at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Monday 21 April 2025
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Paycom Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Oklahoma City vs Memphis predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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