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Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction and NBA Tips - 11 March 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Denver Nuggets in NBA action at Paycom Center on Tuesday, starting at 11:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Thunder vs Nuggets game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Oklahoma City vs Denver NBA match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Thunder a 76% chance of winning against the Nuggets at Paycom Center.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NBA game at Paycom Center are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Thunder $1.26, Nuggets $4.10
  • Line: Thunder -9 ($1.87), Nuggets +9 ($1.95)
  • Total (Over/Under 240.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Thunder at $1.26 and the Nuggets at $4.10.

The Thunder are listed as 9-point favourites against the Nuggets, with odds of $1.87 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Nuggets (+9) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.95.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 240.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Nuggets (+9) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 240.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Denver at $4.10 with Bet365
  • Line: Nuggets +9 at $1.95 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 240.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

These Thunder vs Nuggets betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nuggets to win is our recommended option because of the 2.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Nuggets at Paycom Center on Tuesday is the Thunder winning 123-115.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Oklahoma City vs Denver game on Tuesday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Thunder vs Nuggets prediction, put together by experts in the US.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Oklahoma City vs Denver game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Essential Details

The NBA match-up between the Thunder and Nuggets at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 11:00am AEDT on Tuesday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Oklahoma City vs Denver predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NBA

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, tips for every NBA game, and futures probabilities for the NBA.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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