Tunisia World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets

Last updated: Nov 15, 2022, 2:40PM | Published: Nov 11, 2022, 11:24AM

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that Tunisia can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.

Tunisia has been drawn in Group D of the World Cup 2022, with games against France, Australia and Denmark determining whether they will make the knockout stage.

Tunisia FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)

Tunisia vs Denmark: 23 November, 12:00AM
Tunisia vs Australia: 26 November, 9:00PM
Tunisia vs France: 1 December, 2:00AM

Tunisia failed to qualify for the World Cup in 2010 and 2014, but the country has now qualified for back-to-back World Cup tournaments after earning a spot in 2018 and doing so again in 2022. The team's 2-1 win over Panama in 2018 was its first World Cup win since 1978.

Tunisia World Cup Predictions

Tunisia's chances of advancing to the second round are looking bleak in Group D with France listed at 88.1% to advance out of the group and Denmark at 74.9%.

RUN YOUR OWN: FIFA World Cup 2022 Simulator

Tunisia's Odds for World Cup 2022

Stats Insider's model gives Tunisia an 80.5% chance of being eliminated in the group stage. Should Tunisia advance into the round of 16, the model projects their most likely opponent to be Lionel Messi's Argentina at 51.7%.

Stage of World Cup 2022	Stats Insider Probability	Best Betfair odds
Overall winner	0.1%	$1000
Make the final	0.4%	$250
Make the semi final	1.6%	$50
Make the quarter final	5.6%	$19.50
Make the round of 16	19.5%	$4.90
Win Group D	4.6%	$21

Odds and probabilities correct as of November 11th.

Tunisia World Cup 2022 Best Bets

Tunisia's opening game in Qatar is against Denmark, with the Danes projected as a 65% chance of winning the game.

Our model has detected an edge on Tunisia to win, with their win probability of 13% giving us a 3% edge on the $10 odds with Betfair.

MORE: FIFA World Cup 2022 Golden Ball Preview

Betting Tips For Tunisia

As well as the above head-to-head bet on Tunisia, there is slight value on the Over 2.5 goals market in this game.

Stats Insider's fair odds for o2.5 goals are $2.14, whilst you can currently get $2.16 on the Betfair Exchange.

With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on Denmark vs Tunisia, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

RELATED: Denmark vs Tunisia Prediction

More World Cup Team Previews

More about World Cup 2022

Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.