Twins vs Orioles Prediction and MLB Tips - 28 September 2024

Last updated: Sep 28, 2024, 12:10AM | Published: Sep 26, 2024, 11:32PM

The Minnesota Twins will take on the Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of the American League Division Series at Target Field on Saturday, beginning at 10:10am AEST.

The Twins will send Pablo López (15-9, 4.11 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Cade Povich (2-9, 5.60 ERA) for the Orioles.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Twins vs Orioles game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Minnesota vs Baltimore MLB game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Twins a 57% chance of winning against the Orioles at Target Field.

Twins vs Orioles: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Target Field are shown below:

Head to Head: Twins $1.65, Orioles $2.25
Line: Twins -1.5 ($2.40), Orioles +1.5 ($1.57)
Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Twins at $1.65 and the Orioles at $2.25.

The Twins are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Orioles, with odds of $2.40 available at TAB.

For the underdog Orioles (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.57.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Orioles (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.

Twins vs Orioles: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Baltimore at $2.25 with TAB
Line: Twins -1.5 at $2.40 with TAB
Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Our Twins vs Orioles best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.

And while the Twins have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Orioles to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Even though the Orioles are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Twins -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.

Twins vs Orioles: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Minnesota vs Baltimore game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Minnesota vs Baltimore match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Twins vs Orioles: Essential Details

The match-up between the Twins and Orioles at Target Field is scheduled to start at 10:10am AEST on Saturday.

Teams: Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles
Date: Saturday 28 September 2024
Time: 10:10am AEST
Venue: Target Field

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Minnesota vs Baltimore predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.