Twins vs Padres Prediction and MLB Betting Tips - 11 May 2023
May 9, 2023, 11:47PM
The Minnesota Twins square off with the San Diego Padres in MLB action at Target Field on Thursday, beginning at 9:40am AEST.
Pablo López (2-2, 3.77 ERA) will be on the bump for the Twins, while the Padres will counter with Seth Lugo (3-2, 3.21 ERA).
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Twins vs Padres, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are detailed in this article.
Who will win? Twins vs Padres
Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Minnesota-San Diego MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Twins a 55% chance of beating the Padres at Target Field.
More: Free Betting Guide for Twins vs Padres
Twins vs Padres MLB Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Target Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Twins $1.77, Padres $2.10
- Line: Twins -1.5 ($2.60), Padres +1.5 ($1.53)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $2.00, Under $1.83
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Twins to win at $1.77 and the Padres to win at $2.10.
The Twins are 1.5-run favourites against the Padres, with odds of $2.60 currently available at PointsBet.
For the underdog Padres (+1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.53.
The Over/Under for Twins vs Padres has been set at 9 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.83.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the 9-run Over/Under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every MLB Game
Twins vs Padres MLB Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Minnesota at $1.77 with PointsBet (55% probability)
- Line: Twins -1.5 at $2.60 with PointsBet
- Total Runs: Under 9 at $1.83 with bet365 (54% probability)
These Twins vs Padres best bets are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Padres are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Twins -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Twins vs Padres Prediction
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Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Minnesota vs San Diego on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Minnesota vs San Diego game at Target Field.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Twins vs Padres MLB 2023 Preview
The match-up between the Twins and Padres at Target Field is scheduled to begin at 9:40am AEST on Thursday.
- Game: Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Thursday 11 May 2023
- Time: 9:40am AEST
- Venue: Target Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Minnesota vs San Diego are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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