Vikings vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2023
Last updated: Oct 8, 2023, 8:25PM | Published: Oct 3, 2023, 4:11AM
The Minnesota Vikings play the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 5 action at U.S. Bank Stadium on Monday, starting at 7:25am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Vikings vs Chiefs, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Vikings vs Chiefs
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Minnesota-Kansas City NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Chiefs a 57% chance of defeating the Vikings in Week 5 of the NFL season.
More: Vikings vs Chiefs Simulated 10,000 Times
Vikings vs Chiefs: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at U.S. Bank Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Vikings $2.60, Chiefs $1.56
- Line: Vikings +3.5 ($1.91), Chiefs -3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 52.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Vikings at $2.60. Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the Chiefs at $1.56.
The Vikings are listed as 3.5-point underdogs against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.91 currently available at bet365.
For the favourite Chiefs (-3.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for Vikings vs Chiefs is set at 52.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Vikings (+3.5) have a 61% chance of covering the line, while the 52.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Vikings vs Chiefs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Minnesota at $2.60 with bet365 (4.2% edge) 🔥
- Line: Vikings +3.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (61% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 52.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (54% probability)
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Vikings vs Chiefs betting tips are based on world-class modelling and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Chiefs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Vikings to win is our preferred option due to the 4.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Vikings vs Chiefs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Vikings vs Chiefs at U.S. Bank Stadium in Week 5 has the Chiefs winning 27-24.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Minnesota vs Kansas City in Week 5, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Vikings vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Vikings vs Chiefs? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Minnesota's Justin Jefferson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Vikings vs Chiefs.
Jefferson has a 12.2% chance of getting in for six first at U.S. Bank Stadium, while the Vikings WR has a 55.6% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Vikings First TD Tips
- Justin Jefferson: 12.2% probability
- T.J. Hockenson: 8.8% probability
- Alexander Mattison: 8.6% probability
- Jordan Addison: 5.0% probability
- Cam Akers: 4.6% probability
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Travis Kelce: 9.4% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 8.6% probability
- Kadarius Toney: 6.1% probability
- Rashee Rice: 4.4% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 4.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Vikings Anytime TD Tips
- Justin Jefferson: 55.6% probability
- Alexander Mattison: 42.5% probability
- T.J. Hockenson: 42.4% probability
- Jordan Addison: 27.2% probability
- Cam Akers: 24.6% probability
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Kelce: 45.2% probability
- Isiah Pacheco: 43.0% probability
- Kadarius Toney: 30.5% probability
- Rashee Rice: 24.1% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 21.1% probability
Vikings-Chiefs Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Kirk Cousins is projected to have a big game with 306 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 267 yards.
Vikings Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 306 projected passing yards
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 267 projected passing yards
Vikings Rushing Yards
- Alexander Mattison: 47 projected yards
- Cam Akers: 25 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 9 projected yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 67 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 24 projected yards
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 24 projected yards
Vikings Receiving Yards
- Justin Jefferson: 109 projected yards
- T.J. Hockenson: 51 projected yards
- Jordan Addison: 45 projected yards
- K.J. Osborn: 28 projected yards
- Alexander Mattison: 17 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 79 projected yards
- Skyy Moore: 36 projected yards
- Rashee Rice: 34 projected yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 28 projected yards
- Kadarius Toney: 27 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Minnesota vs Kansas City game at U.S. Bank Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Vikings vs Chiefs: Week 5 Preview
The NFL Week 5 game between the Vikings and Chiefs at U.S. Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Monday 9 October 2023
- Time: 7:25am AEDT
- Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Minnesota vs Kansas City are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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