Warriors vs Bulldogs Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 4, 2023
Mar 20, 2023, 12:15AM
The Warriors face the Bulldogs in NRL Round 4 action at Mt Smart Stadium on Sunday, with kick-off at 2:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Warriors vs Bulldogs, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Warriors vs Bulldogs
Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's New Zealand-Canterbury NRL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 53% chance of defeating the Bulldogs in Round 4 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Warriors vs Bulldogs Simulated 10,000 Times
Warriors vs Bulldogs Odds
The current betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Mt Smart Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.77, Bulldogs $2.05
- Line: Warriors -1.5 ($1.90), Bulldogs +1.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Warriors to win at $1.77 and the Bulldogs to win at $2.05.
The Warriors are 1.5-point favourites against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.90 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Bulldogs (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 42.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Warriors and the Bulldogs have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 42.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going Over.
More: NRL Fixture Difficulty 2023
Warriors vs Bulldogs NRL Best Bets
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $2.05 with TAB
- Line: Bulldogs +1.5 at $1.90 with TAB (50% probability)
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.90 with TAB (55% probability)
Today's Warriors vs Bulldogs best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Warriors have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bulldogs to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the TAB odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Warriors vs Bulldogs Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Bulldogs at Mt Smart Stadium on Sunday has the Warriors winning 22-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Warriors vs Bulldogs on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, free tips, and live scores.
Warriors vs Bulldogs Try Scorers
Searching for Warriors vs Bulldogs try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Bulldogs' Josh Addo-Carr is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Canterbury.
Addo-Carr has a 9.4% chance of scoring the first try at Mt Smart Stadium, while the Bulldogs star has a 47.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Edward Kosi: 8.3% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 7.8% probability
- Viliami Vailea: 6.1% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 4.7% probability
- Te Maire: 3.5% probability
Canterbury Bulldogs
- Josh Addo-Carr: 9.4% probability
- Jacob Kiraz: 5.9% probability
- Jake Averillo: 4.4% probability
- Hayze Perham: 4.2% probability
- Paul Alamoti: 3.8% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Edward Kosi: 44.0% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 42.2% probability
- Viliami Vailea: 35.0% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 29.4% probability
- Te Maire: 24.2% probability
Canterbury Bulldogs
- Josh Addo-Carr: 47.2% probability
- Jacob Kiraz: 35.3% probability
- Jake Averillo: 26.7% probability
- Hayze Perham: 24.3% probability
- Paul Alamoti: 23.9% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Warriors vs Bulldogs game at Mt Smart Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Warriors vs Bulldogs NRL 2023
The NRL Round 4 clash between the Warriors and Bulldogs at Mt Smart Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:00pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Game: New Zealand Warriors vs Canterbury Bulldogs
- Date: Sunday 26 March 2023
- Kick-off: 2:00pm AEDT
- Location: Mt Smart Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
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