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Warriors vs Dolphins Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 12, 2024

The Warriors will play the Dolphins in NRL Round 12 action at Mount Smart Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:05pm AEST.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Warriors vs Dolphins game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured below.

Who Will Win: Warriors vs Dolphins

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's New Zealand-Dolphins NRL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Dolphins a 56% chance of defeating the Warriors in Round 12 of the 2024 NRL season.

More: Warriors vs Dolphins Simulated 10K Times

Warriors vs Dolphins: Odds

The current betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Mount Smart Stadium are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Warriors $2.55, Dolphins $1.52
  • Line: Warriors +5.5 ($1.90), Dolphins -5.5 ($1.90)
  • Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Warriors at $2.55 and the Dolphins at $1.52.

The Warriors are listed as 5.5-point underdogs against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at TAB.

For the favourite Dolphins (-5.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.

The Over/Under for Warriors vs Dolphins has been set at 45.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Warriors (+5.5) have a 59% chance of covering the line, while the 45.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Predictions for Every NRL Match

Warriors vs Dolphins: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Warriors at $2.55 (4.3% edge) 🔥
  • Line: Warriors +5.5 at $1.90 (59% probability) 🔥
  • Total Points: Over 45.5 at $1.90 (51% probability)

Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.

Today's Warriors vs Dolphins best bets are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.

While the Dolphins have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our preferred option due to the 4.3% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Warriors vs Dolphins: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Dolphins at Mount Smart Stadium this Sunday has the Dolphins prevailing 24-21.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Warriors vs Dolphins on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.

Warriors vs Dolphins: Try Scorers

Searching for Warriors vs Dolphins try scorers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, the Dolphins' Jamayne Isaako is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Dolphins.

Isaako has a 8.3% chance of scoring the first try at Mount Smart Stadium, while the Dolphins star has a 47.0% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.

Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.

First Try Scorer Tips

New Zealand Warriors

  • Edward Kosi: 7.7% probability
  • Marcelo Montoya: 6.4% probability
  • Moala Graham-Taufa: 4.9% probability
  • Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 3.9% probability
  • Mitchell Barnett: 3.5% probability

Dolphins

  • Jamayne Isaako: 8.3% probability
  • Jack Bostock: 7.6% probability
  • Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 7.2% probability
  • Herbie Farnworth: 5.8% probability
  • Jake Averillo: 5.2% probability

Anytime Try Scorer Tips

New Zealand Warriors

  • Edward Kosi: 44.9% probability
  • Marcelo Montoya: 37.9% probability
  • Moala Graham-Taufa: 29.7% probability
  • Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 27.8% probability
  • Adam Pompey: 24.3% probability

Dolphins

  • Jamayne Isaako: 47.0% probability
  • Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 43.1% probability
  • Jack Bostock: 42.7% probability
  • Herbie Farnworth: 35.3% probability
  • Jake Averillo: 33.4% probability

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Warriors vs Dolphins game at Mount Smart Stadium.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2024

Warriors vs Dolphins: Preview

The NRL Round 12 clash between the Warriors and Dolphins at Mount Smart Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our Warriors vs Dolphins predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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More on the NRL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, predictions for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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