Warriors vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 26, 2023
Last updated: Aug 25, 2023, 8:00AM | Published: Aug 21, 2023, 12:40AM
The Warriors play the Dragons in NRL Round 26 action at Go Media Stadium on Friday, starting at 6:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Warriors vs Dragons, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 26, 2023
Who Will Win: Warriors vs Dragons
Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's New Zealand-St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 77% chance of defeating the Dragons in Round 26 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Warriors vs Dragons Simulated 10K Times
Warriors vs Dragons: Odds
The current betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Go Media Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.13, Dragons $6.00
- Line: Warriors -17.5 ($1.90), Dragons +17.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $1.85, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Warriors at $1.13 and the Dragons at $6.00.
The Warriors are listed as 17.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the underdog Dragons (+17.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 49.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.85 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dragons (+17.5) have a 61% chance of covering the line, while the 49.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Over.
Looking for the best way to bet on this Warriors vs Dragons match? Join PointsBet now and check out the world's most exciting sports betting format, Spread Betting.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Warriors vs Dragons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: St George at $6.00 with PointsBet (6.3% edge) 🔥
- Line: Dragons +17.5 at $1.90 with PointsBet (61% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 49.5 at $1.85 with PointsBet (52% probability)
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips for today across all sports.
These Warriors vs Dragons best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
We recommend betting on this Warriors vs Dragons game at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on the NRL and more. Create your PointsBet account today!
While the Warriors have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our preferred option because of the 6.3% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Warriors vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Dragons at Go Media Stadium on Friday has the Warriors prevailing 31-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Warriors vs St George on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Warriors vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs St George Illawarra.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 12.8% chance of scoring the first try at Go Media Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 66.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on PointsBet, where you can enjoy betting on every single game this week.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 12.8% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 7.7% probability
- Josh Curran: 5.3% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 4.9% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 4.6% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 7.3% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 4.1% probability
- Sione Finau: 4.0% probability
- Zac Lomax: 3.1% probability
- Ben Hunt: 2.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 66.3% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 47.6% probability
- Josh Curran: 34.7% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 32.8% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 32.4% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Mikaele Ravalawa: 45.0% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 29.4% probability
- Sione Finau: 27.8% probability
- Zac Lomax: 24.8% probability
- Ben Hunt: 20.4% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Warriors vs Dragons match at Go Media Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Warriors vs Dragons: Preview
The NRL Round 26 clash between the Warriors and Dragons at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Friday 25 August 2023
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: Go Media Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Warriors vs St George have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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