Warriors vs Eels Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 22, 2024
Last updated: Aug 2, 2024, 6:46AM | Published: Jul 29, 2024, 1:46AM
The Warriors will sqaure off with the Eels in NRL Round 22 action at Mount Smart Stadium on Friday, commencing at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Warriors vs Eels game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's New Zealand vs Parramatta NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Warriors a 76% chance of beating the Eels in Round 22 of the 2024 NRL season.
Warriors vs Eels: Odds
The current betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Mount Smart Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.22, Eels $4.30
- Line: Warriors -13.5 ($1.90), Eels +13.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.80
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Warriors at $1.22 and the Eels at $4.30.
The Warriors are listed as 13.5-point favourites against the Eels, with odds of $1.90 available at TAB.
For the underdog Eels (+13.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.90.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with TAB, which has odds of $2.00 for the over and $1.80 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Eels (+13.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Warriors vs Eels: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Eels at $4.30 (0.5% edge)
- Line: Eels +13.5 at $1.90 (56% probability)
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.80 (54% probability)
These Warriors vs Eels predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Warriors have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Eels to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Warriors vs Eels: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Eels at Mount Smart Stadium on Friday is the Warriors winning 29-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Warriors vs Eels match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Warriors vs Eels: Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Eels try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Parramatta.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 11.7% chance of scoring the first try at Mount Smart Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 61.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 11.7% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 9.0% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 5.9% probability
- Addin Fonua-Blake: 5.8% probability
- Moala Graham-Taufa: 5.0% probability
Parramatta Eels
- Sean Russell: 5.1% probability
- Jake Tago: 5.0% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 4.5% probability
- Will Penisini: 3.4% probability
- Blaize Talagi: 3.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 61.7% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 49.5% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 38.4% probability
- Addin Fonua-Blake: 38.2% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 35.8% probability
Parramatta Eels
- Sean Russell: 35.2% probability
- Jake Tago: 33.4% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 32.7% probability
- Blaize Talagi: 25.4% probability
- Will Penisini: 24.0% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Warriors vs Eels match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Eels: Essential Details
The NRL Round 22 clash between the Warriors and Eels at Mount Smart Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels
- Date: Friday 2 August 2024
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: Mount Smart Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Warriors vs Eels predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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