Warriors vs Knights Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 1, 2023
Mar 1, 2023, 12:44AMThe Warriors take on the Knights in NRL Round 1 action at Sky Stadium on Friday, with kick-off at 6:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Warriors vs Knights, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Warriors vs Knights
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's New Zealand-Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 56% chance of beating the Knights in Round 1 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Warriors vs Knights Simulated 10K Times
Warriors vs Knights Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Sky Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.68, Knights $2.20
- Line: Warriors -3.5 ($1.95), Knights +3.5 ($1.85)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $1.85
Odds are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, BlueBet currently has the Warriors to win at $1.68 and the Knights to win at $2.20.
The Warriors are 3.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.95 currrently on offer at BlueBet.
For the underdog Knights (+3.5) to cover the line, BlueBet currently has odds of $1.85.
The Over/Under for Warriors vs Knights sits at 42.5 with BlueBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.85.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Warriors and the Knights have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The Over/Under total of 42.5 points has a 59% chance of going Over.
More: NRL Fixture Difficulty 2023
Warriors vs Knights Best Bets
- Head to Head: Knights at $2.20 with BlueBet
- Line: Warriors -3.5 at $1.95 with BlueBet (50% probability)
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.95 with BlueBet (59% probability) 🔥
Every time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Today's Warriors vs Knights betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Warriors have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Knights to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the BlueBet odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Warriors vs Knights NRL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Knights at Sky Stadium on Friday has the Warriors prevailing 24-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Warriors vs Knights on Friday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Warriors vs Knights Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Knights try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Newcastle.
Young has a 8.4% chance of scoring the first try at Sky Stadium, while the Knights star has a 45.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Edward Kosi: 8.4% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 7.7% probability
- Brayden Wiliame: 5.2% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 4.6% probability
- Te Maire: 4.3% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.4% probability
- Hymel Hunt: 4.8% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.7% probability
- Lachlan Miller: 4.6% probability
- Enari Tuala: 4.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Edward Kosi: 44.8% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 41.7% probability
- Brayden Wiliame: 30.4% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 29.2% probability
- Te Maire: 27.2% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 45.6% probability
- Hymel Hunt: 31.9% probability
- Bradman Best: 29.4% probability
- Lachlan Miller: 26.4% probability
- Enari Tuala: 25.8% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Warriors vs Knights match at Sky Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Warriors vs Knights NRL 2023
The NRL Round 1 clash between the Warriors and Knights at Sky Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:00pm AEDT on Friday.
- Game: New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Friday 3 March 2023
- Time: 6:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Sky Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
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