Warriors vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 4, 2024
Last updated: Mar 31, 2024, 4:12AM | Published: Mar 24, 2024, 10:47PM
The Warriors will face the Knights in NRL Round 4 action at Mount Smart Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:05pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Warriors vs Knights game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Warriors vs Knights
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's New Zealand-Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 78% chance of beating the Knights at Mount Smart Stadium.
More: Warriors vs Knights Match Centre
Warriors vs Knights: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Mount Smart Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.28, Knights $3.70
- Line: Warriors -10.5 ($1.95), Knights +10.5 ($1.85)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Warriors at $1.28 and the Knights at $3.70.
The Warriors are 10.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.95 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Knights (+10.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.85.
The Over/Under for Warriors vs Knights has been set at 41.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (-10.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 41.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: NRL Premiership 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Warriors vs Knights: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Warriors at $1.28 (78% probability)
- Line: Warriors -10.5 at $1.95 (51% probability)
- Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.90 (51% probability)
Today's Warriors vs Knights best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Looking for further insight on Round 4 NRL action? Steve Green from Champion Bets is watching every minute of every game to study the form and find value.
He then uses this knowledge to send you the best bets of every NRL round straight to you.
Click here and use promo code STATS to get 20% off your NRL Champion Bets subscription.
Warriors vs Knights: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Knights at Mount Smart Stadium this Sunday has the Warriors winning 26-15.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Warriors vs Knights on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Warriors vs Knights: Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Knights try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Newcastle.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 12.0% chance of scoring the first try at Mount Smart Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 54.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 12.0% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 7.1% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 5.2% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 5.0% probability
- Addin Fonua-Blake: 4.9% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Enari Tuala: 6.4% probability
- Thomas Jenkins: 5.1% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.3% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 4.1% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 3.6% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 54.9% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 39.9% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 30.0% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 29.3% probability
- Addin Fonua-Blake: 28.8% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Enari Tuala: 36.0% probability
- Thomas Jenkins: 31.1% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 27.2% probability
- Bradman Best: 26.3% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 22.1% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Warriors vs Knights game at Mount Smart Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2024
Warriors vs Knights: Preview
The NRL Round 4 clash between the Warriors and Knights at Mount Smart Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Sunday 31 March 2024
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEDT
- Location: Mount Smart Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Warriors vs Knights predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, predictions for every NRL game, and futures probabilities for the NRL.
