Warriors vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Semi-Final 2023
Last updated: Sep 16, 2023, 6:05AM | Published: Sep 10, 2023, 4:55PM
The Warriors square off with the Knights in NRL Semi-Final action at Go Media Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:05pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Warriors vs Knights, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Warriors vs Knights
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's New Zealand-Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 61% chance of defeating the Knights at Go Media Stadium.
More: Warriors vs Knights Match Centre
Warriors vs Knights: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Go Media Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.55, Knights $2.45
- Line: Warriors -5.5 ($1.90), Knights +5.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Warriors at $1.55 and the Knights at $2.45.
The Warriors are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.90 currently available at PointsBet.
For the underdog Knights (+5.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for Warriors vs Knights has been set at 41.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Knights (+5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 41.5-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
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More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Warriors vs Knights: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Knights at $2.45 with PointsBet
- Line: Knights +5.5 at $1.90 with PointsBet (51% probability)
- Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.90 with PointsBet (50% probability)
Stats Insider's Warriors vs Knights predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
We recommend betting on this Warriors vs Knights game at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on more NRL markets than any other bookmaker in the world. Create a PointsBet account now!
While the Warriors have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Knights to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Warriors vs Knights: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Knights at Go Media Stadium this Saturday has the Warriors winning 23-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Warriors vs Knights on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Warriors vs Knights: Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Knights try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Newcastle.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 11.5% chance of scoring the first try at Go Media Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 53.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on PointsBet, where you can enjoy betting on every single game this week.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 11.5% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 6.8% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 4.1% probability
- Te Maire: 3.8% probability
- Adam Pompey: 3.7% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.0% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 8.0% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 5.0% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.7% probability
- Dane Gagai: 2.8% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 53.1% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 37.6% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 26.5% probability
- Te Maire: 22.9% probability
- Adam Pompey: 22.4% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 42.9% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 41.6% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 30.0% probability
- Bradman Best: 29.6% probability
- Dane Gagai: 19.1% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Warriors vs Knights game at Go Media Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Warriors vs Knights: Preview
The NRL Semi-Final clash between the Warriors and Knights at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Saturday 16 September 2023
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: Go Media Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Warriors vs Knights have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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