Warriors vs Roosters Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 9, 2023
Apr 25, 2023, 9:46AM
The Warriors play the favoured Roosters in NRL Round 9 action at Mt Smart Stadium on Sunday, starting at 2:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Warriors vs Roosters, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who will win? Warriors vs Roosters
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's New Zealand-Sydney NRL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Roosters a 64% chance of winning against the Warriors in Round 9 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Full Betting Analysis for Warriors vs Roosters
Warriors vs Roosters Best Odds
The current betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Mt Smart Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $2.75, Roosters $1.45
- Line: Warriors +6.5 ($1.85), Roosters -6.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Warriors to win at $2.75 and the Roosters to win at $1.45.
The Warriors are 6.5-point underdogs against the Roosters, with odds of $1.85 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Roosters (-6.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 41.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (+6.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 41.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
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Warriors vs Roosters Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Warriors at $2.75 with TAB
- Line: Roosters -6.5 at $1.95 with TAB
- Total Points: Under 41.5 at $1.90 with TAB (54% probability)
These Warriors vs Roosters betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
And while the Roosters have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Even though the Warriors are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Roosters -6.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Warriors vs Roosters NRL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Roosters at Mt Smart Stadium this Sunday has the Roosters winning 22-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Warriors vs Roosters on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Warriors vs Roosters Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Roosters try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Roosters' Jaxson Paulo is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Sydney.
Paulo has a 7.9% chance of scoring the first try at Mt Smart Stadium, while the Roosters star has a 44.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Edward Kosi: 6.8% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 6.3% probability
- Viliami Vailea: 4.7% probability
- Wayde Egan: 3.4% probability
- Adam Pompey: 3.3% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Jaxson Paulo: 7.9% probability
- James Tedesco: 7.0% probability
- Corey Allan: 6.4% probability
- Paul Momirovski: 5.1% probability
- Joseph Manu: 4.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Edward Kosi: 38.4% probability
- Marcelo Montoya: 35.8% probability
- Viliami Vailea: 29.4% probability
- Wayde Egan: 22.3% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 21.5% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Jaxson Paulo: 44.1% probability
- James Tedesco: 37.2% probability
- Corey Allan: 36.4% probability
- Paul Momirovski: 29.0% probability
- Joseph Manu: 27.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Warriors vs Roosters match at Mt Smart Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Warriors vs Roosters NRL 2023
The NRL Round 9 clash between the Warriors and Roosters at Mt Smart Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Game: New Zealand Warriors vs Sydney Roosters
- Date: Sunday 30 April 2023
- Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST
- Location: Mt Smart Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our tips for Warriors vs Roosters have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the matchup, giving you reliable and accurate NRL predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NRL tips for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you need help with gambling-related issues, we recommend visiting gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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