West Coast vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2024
Last updated: May 19, 2024, 8:02AM | Published: May 12, 2024, 11:58AM
West Coast will take on the favoured Melbourne in AFL Round 10 action at Optus Stadium on Sunday, starting at 6:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the West Coast vs Melbourne game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: West Coast vs Melbourne
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's West Coast-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Demons an 86% chance of beating the Eagles in Round 10 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: West Coast vs Melbourne Match Centre
West Coast vs Melbourne: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: West Coast $7.40, Melbourne $1.15
- Line: West Coast +33.5 ($2.14), Melbourne -33.5 ($1.72)
- Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $1.75, Under $2.28
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has West Coast at $7.40 and Melbourne at $1.15.
The Eagles are 33.5-point underdogs against the Demons, with odds of $2.14 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Demons (-33.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.72.
The Over/Under for West Coast vs Melbourne sits at 162.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.75 and odds for the Under at $2.28.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Eagles (+33.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 162.5-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
West Coast vs Melbourne: Best Bets
- Head to Head: West Coast at $7.40 with Betfair (0.2% edge)
- Line: West Coast +33.5 at $2.14 with Betfair (54% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 162.5 at $2.28 with Betfair (50% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's West Coast vs Melbourne predictions are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Demons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Eagles to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
West Coast vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for West Coast vs Melbourne at Optus Stadium on Sunday has Melbourne winning 96-66.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of West Coast vs Melbourne on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
West Coast vs Melbourne: Goal Kickers
Searching for West Coast vs Melbourne goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Melbourne's Bayley Fritsch is the most likely player to kick the first goal in West Coast vs Melbourne.
Fritsch has a 7.3% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Demons star has an 88.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
West Coast
- Jake Waterman: 5.7% probability
- Tyrell Dewar: 4.6% probability
- Jamie Cripps: 4.0% probability
- Jack Darling: 3.8% probability
- Liam Ryan: 3.2% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 7.3% probability
- Christian Petracca: 6.7% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 6.5% probability
- Shane McAdam: 5.6% probability
- Ben Brown: 5.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
West Coast
- Jake Waterman: 78.8% probability
- Tyrell Dewar: 71.9% probability
- Jack Darling: 66.1% probability
- Jamie Cripps: 64.5% probability
- Liam Ryan: 60.2% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 88.3% probability
- Christian Petracca: 84.3% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 81.2% probability
- Shane McAdam: 78.1% probability
- Ben Brown: 76.2% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the West Coast vs Melbourne match at Optus Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
West Coast vs Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Eagles and Demons at Optus Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: West Coast vs Melbourne
- Date: Sunday 19 May 2024
- Time: 6:20pm AEST
- Venue: Optus Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our West Coast vs Melbourne predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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