Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 5, 2024
Last updated: Apr 12, 2024, 9:34AM | Published: Apr 7, 2024, 10:18PM
The Western Bulldogs will take on Essendon in AFL Round 5 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Western Bulldogs vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Western Bulldogs vs Essendon
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Western Bulldogs-Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bulldogs a 64% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 5 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Match Centre
Western Bulldogs vs Essendon: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Bulldogs $1.37, Essendon $3.70
- Line: Bulldogs -19.5 ($1.94), Essendon +19.5 ($2.04)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.88
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Bulldogs at $1.37 and Essendon at $3.70.
The Bulldogs are listed as 19.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.94 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Bombers (+19.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $2.04.
The Over/Under for Western Bulldogs vs Essendon sits at 171.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.08 and odds for the Under at $1.88.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+19.5) have a 64% chance of covering the line, while the 171.5-point Over/Under has a 57% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Western Bulldogs vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $3.70 with (9.0% edge) 🔥
- Line: Essendon +19.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (64% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 171.5 at $1.88 with Betfair (57% probability)
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
Today's Western Bulldogs vs Essendon predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bulldogs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option because of the 9.0% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a punter.
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Western Bulldogs vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Western Bulldogs vs Essendon at Marvel Stadium on Friday has the Bulldogs winning 88-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Western Bulldogs vs Essendon on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Bulldogs vs Essendon: Goal Scorers
Searching for Bulldogs vs Essendon goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Jamarra Ugle-Hagan is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Western vs Essendon.
Ugle-Hagan has a 7.2% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Bulldogs star has an 86.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Western Bulldogs
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 7.2% probability
- Aaron Naughton: 7.0% probability
- Cody Weightman: 5.4% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 4.3% probability
- Harvey Gallagher: 2.8% probability
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 6.6% probability
- Jake Stringer: 6.4% probability
- Harrison Jones: 4.3% probability
- Jade Gresham: 4.3% probability
- Jye Menzie: 4.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 87.8% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 86.2% probability
- Cody Weightman: 81.4% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 72.1% probability
- Harvey Gallagher: 57.3% probability
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 86.1% probability
- Jake Stringer: 84.5% probability
- Jade Gresham: 73.0% probability
- Harrison Jones: 69.7% probability
- Jye Menzie: 68.7% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Bulldogs vs Essendon game at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Western Bulldogs vs Essendon: Preview
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Bulldogs and Bombers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Western Bulldogs vs Essendon
- Date: Friday 12 April 2024
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our Bulldogs vs Essendon predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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