Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2024
Last updated: Apr 6, 2024, 9:02AM | Published: Apr 1, 2024, 11:34PM
The Western Bulldogs will take on Geelong in AFL Round 4 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, starting at 8:10pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Western Bulldogs vs Geelong game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Western Bulldogs vs Geelong
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Western Bulldogs-Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bulldogs a 51% chance of defeating the Cats at Adelaide Oval.
More: Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Match Centre
Western Bulldogs vs Geelong: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are shown below:
- Head to Head: Bulldogs $2.08, Geelong $1.92
- Line: Bulldogs +1.5 ($2.02), Geelong -1.5 ($1.97)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $2.16, Under $1.78
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Bulldogs at $2.08 and Geelong at $1.92.
The Bulldogs are 1.5-point underdogs against the Cats, with odds of $2.02 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Cats (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.97.
The Over/Under for Western Bulldogs vs Geelong is set at 169.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.16 and odds for the Under at $1.78.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bulldogs (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 169.5 points has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Western Bulldogs vs Geelong: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $2.08 with (51% probability)
- Line: Bulldogs +1.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Over 169.5 at $2.16 with Betfair (2.4% edge)
These Western Bulldogs vs Geelong betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
Despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 169.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.16) that are available from Betfair.
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Western Bulldogs vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Western Bulldogs vs Geelong at Adelaide Oval on Saturday has the Bulldogs winning 84-83.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Western Bulldogs vs Geelong on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Bulldogs vs Geelong: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Bulldogs vs Geelong goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Tom Hawkins is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Western vs Geelong.
Hawkins has a 7.9% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Cats star has a 90.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 6.3% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 6.2% probability
- Cody Weightman: 5.3% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 3.8% probability
- Sam Darcy: 2.6% probability
Geelong
- Tom Hawkins: 7.9% probability
- Jeremy Cameron: 7.4% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 5.5% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.9% probability
- Brad Close: 3.4% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 85.7% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 83.9% probability
- Cody Weightman: 78.8% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 69.3% probability
- Harvey Gallagher: 54.4% probability
Geelong
- Tom Hawkins: 90.2% probability
- Jeremy Cameron: 88.0% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 77.6% probability
- Oliver Henry: 75.6% probability
- Brad Close: 64.3% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Bulldogs vs Geelong match at Adelaide Oval.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Western Bulldogs vs Geelong: Preview
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Bulldogs and Cats at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 8:10pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Western Bulldogs vs Geelong
- Date: Saturday 6 April 2024
- Time: 8:10pm AEDT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Bulldogs vs Geelong predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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