Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 8, 2024
Last updated: May 5, 2024, 5:33AM | Published: Apr 29, 2024, 2:33AM
The Western Bulldogs will play Hawthorn in AFL Round 8 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Western Bulldogs-Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bulldogs a 74% chance of defeating the Hawks at Marvel Stadium.
More: Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Simulated 10K Times
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Bulldogs $1.28, Hawthorn $4.40
- Line: Bulldogs -25.5 ($1.98), Hawthorn +25.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $2.10, Under $1.83
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Bulldogs at $1.28 and Hawthorn at $4.40.
The Bulldogs are 25.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $1.98 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Hawks (+25.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn is set at 170.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.10 and odds for the Under at $1.83.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Hawks (+25.5) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 170.5 points has a 57% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Match
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $4.40 with Betfair (3.5% edge)
- Line: Hawthorn +25.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (62% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.83 with Betfair (57% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips for today across all sports.
Our Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Bulldogs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Hawks to win is our recommended option due to the 3.5% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
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Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium on Sunday has the Bulldogs winning 92-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Bulldogs vs Hawthorn: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Bulldogs vs Hawthorn goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Jamarra Ugle-Hagan is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Western vs Hawthorn.
Ugle-Hagan has an 8.5% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Bulldogs star has a 92.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Western Bulldogs
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 8.5% probability
- Aaron Naughton: 7.8% probability
- Sam Darcy: 5.1% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 4.9% probability
- Tim English: 3.3% probability
Hawthorn
- Jack Ginnivan: 5.6% probability
- Jack Gunston: 4.9% probability
- Nick Watson: 4.6% probability
- Dylan Moore: 4.2% probability
- Connor Macdonald: 2.5% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Western Bulldogs
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 92.7% probability
- Aaron Naughton: 89.8% probability
- Sam Darcy: 76.6% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 75.4% probability
- Adam Treloar: 60.4% probability
Hawthorn
- Jack Ginnivan: 79.0% probability
- Jack Gunston: 78.9% probability
- Nick Watson: 74.7% probability
- Dylan Moore: 70.7% probability
- Connor Macdonald: 53.6% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Bulldogs vs Hawthorn match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn: Preview
The AFL Round 8 clash between the Bulldogs and Hawks at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn
- Date: Sunday 5 May 2024
- Time: 4:00pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our Bulldogs vs Hawthorn predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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