Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2024
Last updated: May 23, 2024, 9:02AM | Published: May 20, 2024, 9:00AM
The Western Bulldogs will play Sydney in AFL Round 11 action at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Western Bulldogs vs Sydney game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Western Bulldogs vs Sydney
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Western Bulldogs-Sydney AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 56% chance of defeating the Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium.
More: Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Simulated 10K Times
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney: Odds
The latest betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Bulldogs $2.46, Sydney $1.67
- Line: Bulldogs +9.5 ($1.90), Sydney -9.5 ($2.08)
- Total (Over/Under 172.5 Points): Over $2.06, Under $1.90
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Bulldogs at $2.46 and Sydney at $1.67.
The Bulldogs are listed as 9.5-point underdogs against the Swans, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Swans (-9.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.08.
The Over/Under for Western Bulldogs vs Sydney has been set at 172.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.06 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bulldogs (+9.5) have a 57% chance of covering the line, while the 172.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $2.46 with Betfair (3.5% edge)
- Line: Bulldogs +9.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 172.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (54% probability)
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
These Western Bulldogs vs Sydney betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Swans have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bulldogs to win is our recommended option because of the 3.5% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Western Bulldogs vs Sydney at Marvel Stadium this Thursday has Sydney winning 87-82.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Western Bulldogs vs Sydney on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live updates.
Bulldogs vs Sydney: Goal Kickers
Searching for Bulldogs vs Sydney goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Aaron Naughton is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Western vs Sydney.
Naughton has a 6.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Bulldogs star has an 86.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 6.4% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 5.9% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 4.3% probability
- Sam Darcy: 3.8% probability
- Rhylee West: 3.6% probability
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 6.2% probability
- Will Hayward: 5.9% probability
- Logan McDonald: 5.6% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 4.1% probability
- Hayden McLean: 3.9% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 86.0% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 82.5% probability
- Sam Darcy: 68.4% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 67.8% probability
- Rhylee West: 64.7% probability
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 83.3% probability
- Will Hayward: 80.2% probability
- Logan McDonald: 79.6% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 71.5% probability
- Joel Amartey: 68.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Bulldogs vs Sydney game at Marvel Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney: Preview
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Bulldogs and Swans at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Western Bulldogs vs Sydney
- Date: Thursday 23 May 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our Bulldogs vs Sydney predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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