Who Is the Favourite for the 2023 NRL Premiership?
Jul 12, 2023, 10:10AM
The Penrith Panthers are Stats Insider's most likely team to win the 2023 NRL premiership.
According to Stats Insider's NRL futures model, the Panthers have a 32.8% likelihood of winning the 2023 NRL premiership, over double the closest competitor in the premiership probabilities, with the Rabbitohs at 14.1%.
The Sharks are the third most likely team to win the 2023 NRL premiership at 13.7%, while the Storm is at 12.4%, rounding out the top four teams in the market.
The Panthers are also the most likely team to finish on top of the NRL ladder at the end of the regular season at 66.9%, with the Brisbane Broncos at 13.1% the other team in double digit percentages to win the minor premiership.
While the Panthers are level on points with the Brisbane Broncos and only two points clear of the Cronulla Sharks, Melbourne Storm and Canberra Raiders, Stats Insider's schedule difficulty model gives the Sharks the fifth toughest fixture for the remainder of the NRL season.
Penrith enters their Round 20 match up with the Dolphins as heavy favourites following its bye last week.
MORE: NRL Tips For This Weekend - Round 20, 2023
2023 NRL Premiership Probabilities
| Team | Probability |
| Penrith Panthers | 32.8% |
| South Sydney Rabbitohs | 14.1% |
| Cronulla Sharks | 13.7% |
| Melbourne Storm | 12.4% |
| Brisbane Broncos | 8.6% |
| Canberra Raiders | 7.0% |
| Parramatta Eels | 4.6% |
| North Queensland Cowboys | 3.3% |
All probabilities are correct at the time of publication.
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(Photo by Kelly Defina/Getty Images)
