World Cup 2022 Group F Predictions & Picks: Belgium, Croatia, Morocco and Canada

Last updated: Nov 17, 2022, 12:07PM | Published: Nov 16, 2022, 4:12PM

Using powerful predictive analytics, Stats Insider's team of data analysts has simulated Group F at the FIFA World Cup 2022 10,000 times to determine the probabilities and odds of Belgium, Croatia, Morocco and Canada making it to each stage of the tournament.

World Cup Group F Predictions & Odds

The team leading our projections for Group F is Belgium, with a 77.7% chance of making the knockout stage and a 51.3% chance of winning the group overall.

Next up we have Croatia who is projected as having a 54.3% chance of making it out of the group stage.

Country	To Win Group F	To Advance From Group F
Belgium	51.3%	77.7%
Croatia	24.2%	54.3%
Morocco	14.6%	38.3%
Canada	9.9%	29.8%

Group F Prediction: Belgium

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
Belgium	$21	$22

Belgium qualified for World Cup 2022 with six wins and two draws in eight games, posting a goal difference of +19 in the process.

Belgium has a 43.2% chance of making the quarter finals.
Belgium has a 23.7% chance of making the semi finals.
Belgium has a 12.9% chance of making the World Cup final.
Belgium has a 6.5% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

After making the quarter finals (2014) and semi finals (2018) in its last two attempts, Belgium will again be led by superstar Kevin De Bruyne, with Youri Tielemans and Romelu Lukaku also set to play important roles.

For more information on Belgium's chances, check out our Belgium World Cup 2022 Betting Preview.

Group E Prediction: Croatia

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
Croatia	$70	$75

Runners-up at the 2018 World Cup, Croatia qualified for the 2022 tournament with seven wins, two draws and just one loss. Three players scored three goals during their qualification campaign.

Croatia has a 23.1% chance of making the quarter finals.
Croatia has a 10.3% chance of making the semi finals.
Croatia has a 4.4% chance of making the World Cup final.
Croatia has a 1.7% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

Former Ballon D'or winner Luka Modrić will play in one final World Cup for Croatia this year, with Ivan Perišić also key to their chances of another deep run.

For more information on Croatia's chances, check out our Croatia World Cup 2022 Betting Preview.

Group F Prediction: Morocco

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
Morocco	$440	$450

Morocco will appear at its sixth World Cup after qualifying for Qatar with flying colours, posting a perfect 6-0 record before defeating Congo 5-2 across two legs.

Morocco has an 8.6% chance of making the quarter finals.
Morocco has a 2.7% chance of making the semi finals.
Morocco has a 0.9% chance of making the World Cup final.
Morocco has a 0.3% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

Morocco has a number of star players in its squad for 2022, with Ayoub El Kaabi scoring five goals in the qualification campaign, whilst Hakim Ziyech has impressed for Chelsea over the past couple of seasons.

Group F Prediction: Canada

Odds to win World Cup 2022	Back (Betfair Exchange)	Lay (Betfair Exchange)
Canada	$740	$1000

Canada will perform at the FIFA World Cup for just the second time in its history, having finished atop the CONCACAF qualification table, beating out Mexico and USA in the process.

Canada has a 9.4% chance of making the quarter finals.
Canada has a 3.4% chance of making the semi finals.
Canada has a 1.3% chance of making the World Cup final.
Canada has a 0.4% chance of winning FIFA World Cup 2022.

Canada has a rising crop of young stars in its squad for Qatar, with Alphonso Davies and Jonathan David the two most popular names.

Where to watch World Cup Group F in Australia (AEDT)?

Every Group F game at FIFA World Cup 2022 will be free to watch in Australia, with games on SBS and SBS Viceland. Make your free SBS account here.

Morocco vs Croatia: 23 November, 9:00PM
Belgium vs Canada: 24 November, 6:00AM
Belgium vs Morocco: 28 November, 12:00AM
Croatia vs Canada: 28 November, 3:00AM
Croatia vs Belgium: 2 December, 2:00AM
Morocco vs Canada: 2 December, 2:00AM

Where to bet on World Cup Group F?

If you're looking to bet on Group F at World Cup 2022 using the information above, the best place to do is with Betfair, where you can both back and lay every market featuring Belgium, Croatia, Morocco and Canada.

More World Cup 2022 Group Previews

All odds and probabilities correct as of 17 November, 2022.

(Photos by Robbie Jay Barratt - AMA/Getty Images, Roland Krivec/DeFodi Images via Getty Images)

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.