World Cup 2022 Knockout Stage Simulator: Free Predictor Reveals Winner
Last updated: Dec 3, 2022, 8:09AM | Published: Dec 3, 2022, 8:09AM
Stats Insider has used the power of machine learning to determine the most likely outcomes at the FIFA World Cup 2022, with its World Cup simulator updating for the knockout stage of the tournament in Qatar.
With the group stage positions settled, you can simulate the remainder of World Cup 2022, as many times as you like. Use Stats Insider's World Cup Simulator by selecting a team to see how they could fare at Qatar, all thanks to Betfair.
Whether you want to use this World Cup predictor to help decide your World Cup futures bets, or to see how many times you have to run it for your chosen team to come out on top, Stats Insider has you covered.
Select a team, be it the favourites in Brazil or our very own Australia, to see how they and every one of the 16 remaining teams could perform throughout the knockout stage of the tournament.
Starting at the second round of the World Cup and running right up until the final in Lusail, Qatar, every simulation of this World Cup bracket simulator produces a different result based on our model’s probabilities.
TRY IT NOW: FIFA World Cup 2022 Simulator
Who will win the FIFA World Cup 2022?
Following the group stage, five-time winners Brazil, with a 24.5% win probability, and Lionel Messi's Argentina, with a 14.6% win probability, are the two most likely nations to win the 2022 World Cup.
Thanks to the World Cup Simulator though, you can find an outcome with any of the 16 remaining teams winning. With no limit to how many times you can run the predictor, even Australia (0.1%) can come out on top.
Latest FIFA World Cup Odds
| Team | Current Probability | Pre-Tournament Probability | Current Back Odds (Betfair) | Current Lay Odds (Betfair) |
| Brazil | 24.5% | 15.6% | $3.45 | $3.50 |
| Argentina | 14.6% | 8.8% | $6.20 | $6.40 |
| France | 13.5% | 11.6% | $6.60 | $6.80 |
| England | 12.3% | 10.1% | $10 | $10.50 |
| Spain | 10.9% | 8.7% | $8 | $8.20 |
| Portugal | 7.1% | 7.5% | $14 | $14.50 |
| Netherlands | 6.9% | 6.9% | $23 | $24 |
| Croatia | 3.2% | 1.7% | $40 | $42 |
| Switzerland | 1.7% | 1.6% | $85 | $95 |
| United States | 1.5% | 0.8% | $140 | $150 |
| Morocco | 1.2% | 0.7% | $130 | $140 |
| Senegal | 0.8% | 0.9% | $150 | $160 |
| Poland | 0.7% | 0.9% | $360 | $380 |
| South Korea | 0.6% | 0.3% | $280 | $300 |
| Japan | 0.5% | 0.3% | $90 | $95 |
| Australia | 0.1% | 0.1% | $290 | $300 |
Odds and probabilities correct as of 7:00am AEDT, Saturday 3 December.
Last 10 FIFA World Cup Winners
- 2018: France
- 2014: Germany
- 2010: Spain
- 2006: Italy
- 2002: Brazil
- 1998: France
- 1994: Brazil
- 1990: Germany
- 1986: Argentina
- 1982: Italy
FIFA World Cup 2022 Round of 16 Fixtures (AEDT)
- Netherlands vs USA: 4 December, 2:00AM
- Argentina vs Australia: 4 December, 6:00AM
- France vs Poland: 5 December, 2:00AM
- England vs Senegal: 5 December, 6:00AM
- Japan vs Croatia: 6 December, 2:00AM
- Brazil vs South Korea: 6 December, 6:00AM
- Morocco vs Spain: 7 December, 2:00AM
- Portugal vs Switzerland: 7 December, 6:00AM
