Spain World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets

Last updated: Nov 15, 2022, 2:41PM | Published: Nov 10, 2022, 3:57PM

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that Spain can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.

Spain has been drawn in Group E of the World Cup 2022, with games against Germany, Japan and Costa Rica determining whether they will make the knockout stage.

Spain FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)

Spain vs Costa Ria: 24 November, 3:00AM
Spain vs Germany: 28 November, 6:00AM
Spain vs Japan: 2 December, 6:00AM

Spain has made it past the round of 16 only once in its last four World Cup appearances, making the most of that one run by becoming the 2010 World Cup champions. This squad is hoping to get back to the top of the mountain in 2022.

Spain World Cup Predictions

The top spot in Group E should be hotly contested between Spain, which Stats Insider's model gives a 50.4% chance to win the group, and Germany that the model has at 40.4% to win the group.

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Spain’s Odds for World Cup 2022

Spain has an 83.9% chance of advancing into the round of 16, a 29.2% chance of making the semifinals, and is the fifth most likely team to win the World Cup at 8.7%.

Spain could have a tough path with Belgium as its most likely round of 16 opponent at 37.2% and Brazil as its most likely quarterfinals opponent at 34.8%.

Stage of World Cup 2022	Stats Insider Probability	Best Betfair odds
Overall winner	8.7%	$10.50
Make the final	16.5%	$5.20
Make the semi final	29.2%	$2.90
Make the quarter final	52.1%	$1.72
Make the round of 16	83.9%	$1.13
Win Group E	50.4%	$1.97

Odds and probabilities correct as of November 11th.

Spain World Cup 2022 Best Bets

Qatar 2022 begins for Spain with a game against Costa Rica, where they are projected as having a 73.9% win chance. Any odds above $1.35 for Spain to win would be a suggested bet by the Stats Insider model.

MORE: FIFA World Cup 2022 Golden Ball Preview

Betting Tips For Spain

With head-to-head odds of just $1.23, there's not much value in betting on Spain to win their game against Costa Rica.

Instead, the value on this game comes in the form of betting on both teams to score, with our fair odds of $2.77 slightly better than the $2.80 on offer at Betfair.

With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on Germany vs Japan, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

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Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.