AFL Best Bets and Multi for Round 1, 2023

Last updated: Mar 19, 2023, 12:25PM | Published: Mar 17, 2023, 3:20AM

Round 1 of the 2023 AFL season is here, and we have AFL predictions and AFL betting tips for the action.

Here at Stats Insider, we have simulated every Round 1 AFL game 10,000 times to find value for punters this weekend.

With AFL best bets, AFL odds, and AFL predictions provided weekly, check out our AFL betting tips for Round 1.

AFL Bets and Odds, Round 1

Collingwood Line Bet (+13.5) vs Geelong at $1.91

Two of last year's top four teams meet at the MCG on Friday night as reigning premier Geelong hosts Collingwood.

Our model has the game as a close one, predicting the Cats will prevail 86-81 against the Magpies, which means the 13.5-point head start Collingwood gets in this game is the smart play.

Geelong vs Collingwood is at the MCG on Friday, March 11 at 7:20pm AEDT.

MORE: AFL Schedule Difficulty

Western Bulldogs to defeat Melbourne at $2.26

Two teams that bolstered their playing lists heading into the 2023 AFL season meet on Saturday night with the Western Bulldogs facing off against Melbourne at the MCG.

Our model believes the market is currently undervaluing the Bulldogs heading into the match and after simulating the game 10,000 times, has found value in the Dogs to get the win.

Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs is at the MCG on Saturday, March 18 at 7:25pm AEDT.

MORE: AFL Expert Tips For Round 1, 2023

GWS to defeat Adelaide at $1.74

There's been plenty of hype around Adelaide heading into the 2023 AFL season but our objective model ignores the hype and acts solely on data.

The Giants have not lost to the Crows since 2020, and our model believes that run of form will continue on Sunday.

GWS vs Adelaide is at Giants Stadium on Sunday, March 19 at 1:10pm AEDT.

AFL Multi Bet for Round 1

If you want to juice up your AFL betting this week, a multi of our model's best AFL bets is the way to go in Round 1.

Geelong +13.5 against Geelong ($1.81)
The Western Bulldogs to defeat Melbourne ($2.26)
GWS to defeat Adelaide ($1.74)

AFL Multi Odds: $7.11

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Todd Davey

Todd Davey is a seasoned journalist and passionate sports fan with a strong interest in the AFL, NBA, and NRL. He has amassed valuable experience through his roles at The Canberra Times, Buddybet, Bets.com.au, and HorseBetting.com.au. With a commitment to delivering trustworthy and current information, Todd is a highly regarded source in Australia for engaging sports content and insightful analysis.