AFL Best Bets and Odds for Round 16, 2023

Last updated: Jul 2, 2023, 11:04AM | Published: Jun 30, 2023, 8:19AM

Round 16 of the 2023 AFL season is here, and we have AFL best bets and AFL odds for the upcoming weekend.

Here at Stats Insider, we have simulated every Round 16 AFL game 10,000 times to find the best value for AFL punters this weekend.

After going through our AFL best bets and AFL betting odds, our data-driven predictive analytics model has found the best AFL betting tips for Round 16.

MORE: AFL Best Bets

AFL Bets and Odds: Round 16

North Melbourne +44.5 Against Adelaide at $2.00

Adelaide hosts North Melbourne on Saturday afternoon.

Last week, Adelaide was defeated 80-82 by Collingwood, while North Melbourne comes into this game following the bye.

Our AFL predictive model believes the Kangaroos should be valued at $1.69 to cover the line, and with $2.00 available on the Betfair Exchange, one of our best AFL bets this weekend is North Melbourne +44.5 against Adelaide.

Adelaide vs North Melbourne is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, July 1 at 1:45pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Hawthorn +19.5 Against Carlton at $1.97

Hawthorn and Carlton clash at the MCG on Sunday afternoon.

Last week, Hawthorn were beaten by Gold Coast 34-101, while Carlton had its mid-season bye.

Our AFL predictive model values the Hawks at the line at $1.77, and with $1.97 available at Betfair, Hawthorn +19.5 against Carlton is one of the best AFL bets of Round 16.

Hawthorn vs Carlton is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, July 2 at 1:10pm.

GWS+18.5 Against Melbourne at $1.87

Melbourne takes on GWS at TIO Stadium in Darwin on Sunday afternoon.

In Round 14, Melbourne lost 63-78 to Geelong, while GWS comes into this game off its bye.

Our AFL predictive model believes the Hawks are overvalued by Betfair punters at the line, which makes GWS +18.5 against Melbourne one of the AFL best bets for Round 16.

Melbourne vs GWS is at TIO Stadium on Sunday, July 2 at 3:20pm.

AFL Best Bets Round 16, 2023

Our three AFL best bets of the weekend are selected after 10,000 simulations of each game in Round 16.

North Melbourne +44.5 Against Adelaide at $2.00
Hawthorn +19.5 Against Melbourne at $1.97
GWS +18.5 Against Melbourne at $1.87

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.

If you decide to use our AFL betting tips for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

Todd Davey

Todd Davey is a seasoned journalist and passionate sports fan with a strong interest in the AFL, NBA, and NRL. He has amassed valuable experience through his roles at The Canberra Times, Buddybet, Bets.com.au, and HorseBetting.com.au. With a commitment to delivering trustworthy and current information, Todd is a highly regarded source in Australia for engaging sports content and insightful analysis.