AFL Best Bets and Odds for Round 17, 2023

Last updated: Jul 9, 2023, 10:13AM | Published: Jul 7, 2023, 4:49AM

Round 17 of the 2023 AFL season is here, and we have AFL best bets and AFL odds for the upcoming weekend.

Here at Stats Insider, we have simulated every Round 17 AFL game 10,000 times to find the best value for AFL punters this weekend.

After going through our AFL best bets and AFL betting odds, our data-driven predictive analytics model has found the best AFL betting tips for Round 17.

MORE: AFL Best Bets

AFL Bets and Odds: Round 17

Collingwood to Defeat the Western Bulldogs at $1.64

Collingwood and the Western Bulldogs clash at Marvel Stadium on Friday night.

Last week, the Western Bulldogs lost to Fremantle 73-102, while Collingwood defeated Gold Coast 120-42.

After 10,000 simulations of this matchup, our AFL predictive model believes the Magpies should be valued at $1.56 to beat the Dogs, and with the Betfair Exchange currently trading them at $1.64, Collingwood to defeat the Western Bulldogs is one of the best AFL bets of Round 17.

Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, July 7 at 7:50pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Port Adelaide to Defeat Gold Coast at $1.20

Port Adelaide hosts Gold Coast on Saturday afternoon at Adelaide Oval.

Last week, Port Adelaide defeated Essendon 78-74, while Gold Coast were defeated by Collingwood by 78 points.

Our AFL predictive model values the Power at $1.14 to win against the Suns, and with $1.20 available at Betfair, Port Adelaide to defeat Gold Coast is one of the best AFL bets of Round 17.

Port Adelaide vs Gold Coast is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, July 8 at 7:40pm.

Essendon to Defeat Adelaide at $1.94

Essendon hosts Adelaide at Marvel Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

In Round 16, Adelaide defeated North Melbourne 138-72, while Essendon were beaten by Port Adelaide by four points.

Our AFL predictive model believes the fair odds on the Bombers to beat the Crows should be at $1.79, and with odds of $1.94 being posted on the Betfair Exchange, Essendon to defeat Adelaide is one of the AFL best bets for Round 17.

Essendon vs Adelaide is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, July 9 at 3:20pm.

AFL Best Bets Round 17, 2023

Our three AFL best bets of the weekend are selected after 10,000 simulations of each game in Round 17.

Collingwood to defeat the Western Bulldogs at $1.64
Port Adelaide to defeat Gold Coast at $1.20
Essendon to defeat Adelaide at $1.94

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.

If you decide to use our AFL betting tips for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

Todd Davey

Todd Davey is a seasoned journalist and passionate sports fan with a strong interest in the AFL, NBA, and NRL. He has amassed valuable experience through his roles at The Canberra Times, Buddybet, Bets.com.au, and HorseBetting.com.au. With a commitment to delivering trustworthy and current information, Todd is a highly regarded source in Australia for engaging sports content and insightful analysis.