AFL Expert Tips for Round 17, 2023
Last updated: Jul 9, 2023, 10:13AM | Published: Jul 4, 2023, 12:14PM
To give you a hand with your AFL tips for Round 17, we have AFL Round 17 tips 2023 for every match this week.
Get the edge in AFL tipping leagues with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 17 of the 2023 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL match thousands of times.
AFL Round 17 Tips and Predictions 2023
AFL fans have nine games to enjoy this week, starting with Richmond vs Sydney on Thursday and finishing with Fremantle vs Carlton on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 17 2023 a go-to resource for AFL tipsters across the country.
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AFL Tips Round 17 2023: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for every AFL game in Round 17, 2023, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Richmond vs Sydney
Round 17 AFL action kicks off with Richmond playing Sydney at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday. Our predictive analytics model projects Richmond as having a 56% chance of winning, while Sydney has a 44% win probability.
Richmond vs Sydney is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, July 6 at 7:20pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood
In Friday night's game between the Western Bulldogs and Collingwood, the Magpies are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 64% chance for Collingwood. The Western Bulldogs, on the other hand, have a 36% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, July 7 at 7:50pm.
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Brisbane vs West Coast
We are tipping Brisbane to win its game against West Coast this week, with our model projecting a 100% win probability for the Lions. West Coast has a 100% chance of winning.
Brisbane vs West Coast is at The Gabba on Saturday, July 8 at 1:45pm.
GWS vs Hawthorn
With a win probability of 82% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this game is GWS, while its opponent, Hawthorn, has a projected win chance of 18%.
Looking at the head-to-head betting odds, Betfair currently has GWS at $1.24, with Hawthorn available at $5.00.
GWS vs Hawthorn is at Giants Stadium on Saturday, July 8 at 4:35pm.
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St Kilda vs Melbourne
The Demons have a 67% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to St Kilda's 33% chance of victory. This makes Melbourne the team to tip at Marvel Stadium.
St Kilda vs Melbourne is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, July 8 at 7:25pm.
Port Adelaide vs Gold Coast
Port Adelaide is favoured to win this one, with our predictive analytics model giving them an 88% chance, while Gold Coast enters the weekend with a 12% chance of winning at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs Gold Coast is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, July 8 at 7:40pm.
Geelong vs North Melbourne
According to our predictive analytics model, Geelong is the team to beat in this game, with the Cats' win probability at 94%. North Melbourne, on the other hand, has a 6% chance of pulling off an unlikely victory.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Cats at $1.08 and the Kangaroos at $10.50.
Geelong vs North Melbourne is at GMHBA Stadium on Sunday, July 9 at 1:10pm.
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Essendon vs Adelaide
We are tipping the Bombers in this match, with Essendon given a 53% chance of winning, while Adelaide has a 47% win probability.
Essendon vs Adelaide is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, July 9 at 3:20pm.
Fremantle vs Carlton
The last game of Round 17 sees Fremantle take on Carlton at Optus Stadium. The current Betfair odds list the Dockers at $1.84 and the Blues at $2.18.
We are tipping Fremantle with a win probability of 56%, while Carlton is projected to have a win chance of 44%.
Fremantle vs Carlton is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, July 9 at 4:40pm.
AFL Tipping Round 17 2023: Who to Tip
- Richmond
- Collingwood
- Brisbane
- GWS
- Melbourne
- Port Adelaide
- Geelong
- Essendon
- Fremantle
AFL Round 17 Games to Tip On
- Richmond Tigers vs Sydney Swans
- Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies
- Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles
- GWS Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks
- St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons
- Port Adelaide Power vs Gold Coast Suns
- Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Essendon Bombers vs Adelaide Crows
- Fremantle Dockers vs Carlton Blues
The AFL footy tips Round 17 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2023 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our footy tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
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