AFL Best Bets for Round 4, 2023

Last updated: Apr 10, 2023, 1:30PM | Published: Apr 6, 2023, 1:30AM

Round 4 of the 2023 AFL season is here, and we have AFL predictions and the AFL best bets for the weekend.

At Stats Insider, we have simulated every Round 4 AFL game 10,000 times to find value for punters this weekend.

After going through our AFL best bets, AFL odds, and AFL predictions, the AFL experts at Stats Insider have provided AFL betting tips for Round 4.

AFL Bets and Odds, Round 4

Brisbane to defeat Collingwood at $2.08

Brisbane vs Collingwood is the opening game of Round 4 of the 2023 AFL season.

The Lions are coming off a loss to the Bulldogs, while the Magpies stayed undefeated after beating the Tigers last Friday night.

Our AFL predictive model values the Lions as a $1.99 prospect, but with Betfair posting $2.08 odds, Brisbane is one of our best bets in the AFL this weekend.

Brisbane vs Collingwood is at The Gabba on Thursday, April 6 at 7:35pm AEST.

Western Bulldogs to defeat Richmond at $2.72

The Western Bulldogs meet Richmond on Saturday afternoon at the MCG.

The Bulldogs put together a season-defining 14-point win over Brisbane last week, while Richmond's 14-point defeat to Collingwood handed them their first loss of the season.

Our AFL predictive model has identified the Western Bulldogs as one of the best bets in the AFL this weekend.

Richmond vs Western Bulldogs is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, April 8 at 4:35pm AEST.

MORE: 2023 AFL Fixture Difficulty

Port Adelaide to defeat Sydney at $3.30

Sydney hosts Port Adelaide, with both teams looking to bounce back after Round 3 losses.

The Swans were beaten comprehensively by the Demons last Sunday, while the Power lost the Showdown to Adelaide by 31 points.

The Power are rated at $3.30 with Betfair, which is above what our model currently thinks their odds should be at $3.02 currently on offer for Port Adelaide to defeat Sydney as one of the best AFL bets of the day.

Sydney vs Port Adelaide is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, April 8 at 7:30pm AEST.

AFL Best Bets Round 4, 2023

Brisbane to defeat Collingwood - $2.08
Western Bulldogs to defeat Richmond - $2.72
Port Adelaide to defeat Sydney - $3.30

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Todd Davey

Todd Davey is a seasoned journalist and passionate sports fan with a strong interest in the AFL, NBA, and NRL. He has amassed valuable experience through his roles at The Canberra Times, Buddybet, Bets.com.au, and HorseBetting.com.au. With a commitment to delivering trustworthy and current information, Todd is a highly regarded source in Australia for engaging sports content and insightful analysis.