AFL Expert Tips for Round 21, 2023
Last updated: Aug 6, 2023, 8:15AM | Published: Aug 1, 2023, 10:56AM
Searching for data-driven AFL tips for Round 21? We have AFL Round 21 tips 2023 for every match this week.
Get the edge in AFL tipping competitions thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 21 of the 2023 AFL season, which are the result of simulating each AFL match-up 10,000 times.
With just a few weeks left in the AFL season, our expert tips could make the difference in your final standings.
AFL Round 21 Tips and Predictions 2023
There are nine games in Round 21 of the 2023 AFL season, beginning with the Bulldogs vs Richmond on Friday and concluding with Fremantle vs Brisbane on Sunday.
Our AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 21 2023 a must-read resource for AFL fans across the country.
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AFL Tips Round 21 2023: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for every AFL clash in Round 21, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Western Bulldogs vs Richmond
Round 21 AFL action kicks off with the Western Bulldogs taking on Richmond at Marvel Stadium on Friday. Our model projects the Western Bulldogs as having a 59% chance of winning, while Richmond has a 41% win probability.
Western Bulldogs vs Richmond is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, August 4 at 7:50pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Essendon vs West Coast
In this week's game between Essendon and West Coast, the Bombers are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 97% chance for Essendon. On the other hand, West Coast has a 3% chance of securing an unlikely victory.
Essendon vs West Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, August 5 at 1:45pm.
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Adelaide vs Gold Coast
We are tipping Adelaide to win its game against Gold Coast this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 69% win probability for the Crows. Gold Coast has a 31% chance of winning.
Adelaide vs Gold Coast is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, August 5 at 2:10pm.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood
With a win probability of 85% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this match is Collingwood, while its opponent, Hawthorn, has a projected win chance of 15%.
Looking at the head-to-head betting odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn at $5.70, with Collingwood available at $1.19.
Hawthorn vs Collingwood is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 5 at 4:35pm.
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Geelong vs Port Adelaide
The Cats have a 65% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to Port Adelaide's 35% chance of victory. This makes Geelong the team to tip at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Port Adelaide is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, August 5 at 7:25pm.
GWS vs Sydney
GWS is favoured to win its Round 21 game, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 53% chance, while Sydney enters the weekend with a 47% chance of securing a win at Giants Stadium.
GWS vs Sydney is at Giants Stadium on Saturday, August 5 at 7:30pm.
North Melbourne vs Melbourne
According to our predictive analytics model, Melbourne is the team to beat in this game, with the Demons' win probability at 91%. North Melbourne, on the other hand, has a 9% chance of winning.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Kangaroos at $8.80 and the Demons at $1.12.
North Melbourne vs Melbourne is at Blundstone Arena on Sunday, August 6 at 1:10pm.
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St Kilda vs Carlton
Our model is tipping the Blues in this match, with Carlton given a 70% chance of winning, while St Kilda has a 30% win probability.
St Kilda vs Carlton is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, August 6 at 3:20pm.
Fremantle vs Brisbane
The last game of Round 21 sees Fremantle take on Brisbane at Optus Stadium. The latest Betfair odds have the Dockers at $2.90 and the Lions at $1.52.
We are tipping Brisbane with a win probability of 64%, while Fremantle is projected to have a win chance of 36%.
Fremantle vs Brisbane is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, August 6 at 4:40pm.
AFL Tipping Round 21 2023: Who to Tip
- Bulldogs
- Essendon
- Adelaide
- Collingwood
- Geelong
- GWS
- Melbourne
- Carlton
- Brisbane
AFL Round 21 Games to Tip On
- Western Bulldogs vs Richmond Tigers
- Essendon Bombers vs West Coast Eagles
- Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies
- Geelong Cats vs Port Adelaide Power
- GWS Giants vs Sydney Swans
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons
- St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues
- Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions
The AFL footy tips Round 21 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2023 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our footy tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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