AFL Expert Tips for Round 22, 2023
Last updated: Aug 13, 2023, 10:07AM | Published: Aug 8, 2023, 11:52AM
To give you an advantage with your AFL tips for Round 22, we have AFL Round 22 tips 2023 for every match this week.
Get an edge in your AFL tipping competitions thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 22 of the 2023 AFL season, which are the result of simulating each AFL match 10,000 times.
As we are now in the concluding weeks of the 2023 AFL season, these expert tips are becoming even more vital. Make the most of the below Round 22 AFL tips to give yourself a chance at securing the highest possible finish this footy tipping season.
AFL Round 22 Tips and Predictions 2023
AFL fans have nine games to enjoy this week, starting with Collingwood vs Geelong on Friday and ending with Carlton vs Melbourne on Saturday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 22 2023 a must-read resource for AFL fans.
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AFL Tips Round 22 2023: Who Will Win
Detailed below are our predictions for every AFL clash in Round 22, 2023, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Collingwood vs Geelong
Round 22 action kicks off with Collingwood taking on Geelong at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday night. Our model projects Collingwood as having a 58% chance of winning, while Geelong has a 42% win probability.
Collingwood vs Geelong is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, August 11 at 7:50pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Sydney vs Gold Coast
In this week's game between Sydney and Gold Coast, the Swans are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 76% chance for Sydney. On the other hand, Gold Coast has a 24% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Sydney vs Gold Coast is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 12 at 1:45pm.
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North Melbourne vs Essendon
We are tipping Essendon to win its game against North Melbourne this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 77% win probability for the Bombers. North Melbourne has a 23% chance of winning.
North Melbourne vs Essendon is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, August 12 at 1:45pm.
Brisbane vs Adelaide
With a win probability of 73% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this game is Brisbane, while its opponent, Adelaide, has a projected win chance of 27%.
Looking at the latest betting odds, Betfair currently has Brisbane at $1.40, with Adelaide available at $3.40.
Brisbane vs Adelaide is at The Gabba on Saturday, August 12 at 4:35pm.
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West Coast vs Fremantle
The Dockers have an 87% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to West Coast's 13% chance of victory. This makes Fremantle the team to tip at Optus Stadium.
West Coast vs Fremantle is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, August 12 at 8:10pm.
Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs
The Western Bulldogs are favourites to win their game this week, with our model giving them a 64% chance, while Hawthorn enters the weekend with a 36% chance of causing an upset at University of Tasmania Stadium.
Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs is at University of Tasmania Stadium on Sunday, August 13 at 1:10pm.
St Kilda vs Richmond
Our model has these two teams at a 50-50 split heading into the game, with a slight edge towards tipping St Kilda to get the win over Richmond at Marvel Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Saints at $1.88 and the Tigers at $2.12.
St Kilda vs Richmond is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, August 13 at 3:20pm.
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Port Adelaide vs GWS
We are tipping the Power in this match, with Port Adelaide given a 59% chance of winning, while GWS has a 41% win probability.
Port Adelaide vs GWS is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, August 13 at 4:40pm.
Carlton vs Melbourne
The last game of Round 22 sees Carlton take on Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground. The latest Betfair odds list the Blues at $2.16 and the Demons at $1.82.
We are tipping Melbourne with a win probability of 58%, while Carlton is projected to have a win chance of 42%.
Carlton vs Melbourne is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 12 at 7:25pm.
AFL Tipping Round 22 2023: Who to Tip
- Collingwood
- Sydney
- Essendon
- Brisbane
- Fremantle
- Bulldogs
- St Kilda
- Port Adelaide
- Melbourne
AFL Round 22 Games to Tip On
- Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats
- Sydney Swans vs Gold Coast Suns
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Essendon Bombers
- Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows
- West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs
- St Kilda Saints vs Richmond Tigers
- Port Adelaide Power vs GWS Giants
- Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons
The AFL footy tips Round 22 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2023 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our AFL tips for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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