Brisbane vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2023
Last updated: Jun 29, 2023, 9:20AM | Published: Jun 25, 2023, 10:40AM
Brisbane plays Richmond in AFL Round 16 action at The Gabba on Thursday, commencing at 7:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Brisbane vs Richmond, as well as the latest betting odds, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Brisbane vs Richmond
Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Brisbane-Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 70% chance of defeating the Tigers at The Gabba.
More: Brisbane vs Richmond Match Centre
Brisbane vs Richmond: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown here:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.36, Richmond $3.75
- Line: Brisbane -22.5 ($2.00), Richmond +22.5 ($1.92)
- Total (Over/Under 176.5 Points): Over $2.04, Under $1.92
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Brisbane at $1.36 and Richmond at $3.75.
The Lions are 22.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $2.00 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Tigers (+22.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.92.
The Over/Under for Brisbane vs Richmond sits at 176.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.04 and odds for the Under at $1.92.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+22.5) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 176.5 points has a 58% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Brisbane vs Richmond: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Richmond at $3.75 with Betfair (3.2% edge)
- Line: Richmond +22.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (62% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 176.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Brisbane vs Richmond predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our recommended option because of the 3.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 16
Brisbane vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Richmond at The Gabba this Thursday has Brisbane winning 93-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Brisbane vs Richmond on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs Richmond match at The Gabba.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Brisbane vs Richmond: Preview
The AFL Round 16 clash between the Lions and Tigers at The Gabba is scheduled to start at 7:20pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Brisbane vs Richmond have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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