Carlton vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2023
Last updated: Aug 12, 2023, 9:15AM | Published: Aug 7, 2023, 11:10PM
Carlton takes on Melbourne in AFL Round 22 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Carlton vs Melbourne, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 22, 2023
Who Will Win: Carlton vs Melbourne
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Carlton-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Demons a 67% chance of winning against the Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
More: Carlton vs Melbourne Match Centre
Carlton vs Melbourne: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Carlton $2.68, Melbourne $1.58
- Line: Carlton +10.5 ($2.08), Melbourne -10.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $2.04, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Carlton at $2.68 and Melbourne at $1.58.
The Blues are 10.5-point underdogs against the Demons, with odds of $2.08 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Demons (-10.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for Carlton vs Melbourne is set at 160.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.04 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Demons (-10.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 160.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
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Carlton vs Melbourne: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Melbourne at $1.58 with Betfair (67% probability) 🔥
- Line: Carlton +10.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (0.1% edge)
- Total Points: Over 160.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (51% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips of the day across all sports.
These Carlton vs Melbourne best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Demons are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Blues +10.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 22
Carlton vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has Melbourne winning 86-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Carlton vs Melbourne on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Carlton vs Melbourne: Goal Kickers
Looking for Carlton vs Melbourne goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Carlton vs Melbourne.
Curnow has a 9.1% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Blues star has a 92.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 9.1% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.5% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 4.2% probability
- Jack Martin: 4.0% probability
- Zac Fisher: 2.7% probability
Melbourne
- Kysaiah Pickett: 8.1% probability
- Christian Petracca: 6.0% probability
- Jake Melksham: 5.8% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 4.5% probability
- Kade Chandler: 4.2% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 92.7% probability
- Matthew Owies: 72.1% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 68.4% probability
- Jack Martin: 67.1% probability
- Matthew Cottrell: 52.0% probability
Melbourne
- Kysaiah Pickett: 89.7% probability
- Jake Melksham: 80.8% probability
- Christian Petracca: 79.7% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 72.2% probability
- Kade Chandler: 67.0% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Carlton vs Melbourne match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
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Carlton vs Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Blues and Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Carlton vs Melbourne
- Date: Saturday 12 August 2023
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Carlton vs Melbourne have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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