Collingwood vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2023
Last updated: Jul 28, 2023, 9:41AM | Published: Jul 24, 2023, 12:40AM
Collingwood faces Carlton in AFL Round 20 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 7:50pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Collingwood vs Carlton, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 20, 2023
Who Will Win: Collingwood vs Carlton
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Collingwood-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Magpies a 71% chance of beating the Blues in Round 20 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Collingwood vs Carlton Match Centre
Collingwood vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $1.42, Carlton $3.30
- Line: Collingwood -15.5 ($2.00), Carlton +15.5 ($1.98)
- Total (Over/Under 159.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Collingwood at $1.42 and Carlton at $3.30.
The Magpies are 15.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Blues (+15.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 159.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (+15.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 159.5-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Collingwood vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $1.42 with Betfair (71% probability)
- Line: Carlton +15.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Under 159.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (50% probability)
Today's Collingwood vs Carlton predictions are based on complex modelling and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 20
Collingwood vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Friday has Collingwood winning 87-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Collingwood vs Carlton on Friday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Collingwood vs Carlton: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Collingwood vs Carlton goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Collingwood vs Carlton.
Curnow has a 9.1% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Blues star has a 94.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Collingwood
- Jamie Elliott: 7.3% probability
- Brody Mihocek: 7.0% probability
- Daniel McStay: 5.5% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 4.6% probability
- Mason Cox: 4.5% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 9.1% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 4.5% probability
- Jack Martin: 4.4% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.3% probability
- Matthew Cottrell: 2.7% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 87.1% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 87.0% probability
- Daniel McStay: 75.2% probability
- Jordan De Goey: 71.5% probability
- Mason Cox: 66.6% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 94.0% probability
- Matthew Owies: 72.5% probability
- Jack Martin: 69.6% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 67.5% probability
- Matthew Cottrell: 50.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Collingwood vs Carlton game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Collingwood vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Magpies and Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Carlton
- Date: Friday 28 July 2023
- Time: 7:50pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Collingwood vs Carlton are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.
