Collingwood vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2023
Last updated: Aug 11, 2023, 9:50AM | Published: Aug 6, 2023, 2:00PM
Collingwood squares off with Geelong in AFL Round 22 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 7:50pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Collingwood vs Geelong, plus the latest betting odds, are detailed below.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 22, 2023
Who Will Win: Collingwood vs Geelong
Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Collingwood-Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Magpies a 59% chance of defeating the Cats in Round 22 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Collingwood vs Geelong Match Centre
Collingwood vs Geelong: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Collingwood $1.76, Geelong $2.28
- Line: Collingwood -5.5 ($1.91), Geelong +5.5 ($2.08)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $2.10, Under $1.89
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Collingwood at $1.76 and Geelong at $2.28.
The Magpies are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Cats, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Cats (+5.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.08.
The Over/Under for Collingwood vs Geelong sits at 165.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.10 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Magpies (-5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 165.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Collingwood vs Geelong: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $1.76 with Betfair (59% probability)
- Line: Geelong +5.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (0.5% edge)
- Total Points: Over 165.5 at $2.10 with Betfair (0.1% edge)
Our Collingwood vs Geelong best bets are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Even though the Magpies are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Cats +5.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 165.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.10) that are available from Betfair.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 22
Collingwood vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Collingwood vs Geelong at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Friday has Collingwood winning 85-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Collingwood vs Geelong on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Collingwood vs Geelong game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Collingwood vs Geelong: Preview
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Magpies and Cats at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Collingwood vs Geelong
- Date: Friday 11 August 2023
- Time: 7:50pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Collingwood vs Geelong have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
