Essendon vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2023

Last updated: Jul 8, 2023, 1:55PM | Published: Jul 2, 2023, 2:04PM

Essendon faces Adelaide in AFL Round 17 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 3:20pm AEST.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for Essendon vs Adelaide, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.

More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 17, 2023

Who Will Win: Essendon vs Adelaide

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Essendon-Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Bombers a 53% chance of winning against the Crows in Round 17 of the 2023 AFL season.

More: Essendon vs Adelaide Match Centre

Essendon vs Adelaide: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:

Head to Head: Essendon $1.98, Adelaide $2.00
Line: Essendon -1.5 ($2.00), Adelaide +1.5 ($1.87)
Total (Over/Under 177.5 Points): Over $1.84, Under $1.90

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Essendon at $1.98 and Adelaide at $2.00.

The Bombers are listed as 1.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $2.00 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Crows (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.87.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 177.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.84 and odds for the Under at $1.90.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 177.5 points has a 54% chance of staying Under.

More: AFL Premiership 2023 Probabilities and Odds

Essendon vs Adelaide: Best Bets

Head to Head: Essendon at $1.98 with Betfair (53% probability)
Line: Essendon -1.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (51% probability)
Total Points: Under 177.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (54% probability)

Our Essendon vs Adelaide betting tips are based on world-class simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 17

Essendon vs Adelaide: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Adelaide at Marvel Stadium on Sunday has Essendon winning 88-86.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Essendon vs Adelaide on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Essendon vs Adelaide: Goal Scorers

Are you looking for Essendon vs Adelaide goalscorer tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Adelaide's Taylor Walker is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs Adelaide.

Walker has a 7.5% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Crows star has a 90.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Essendon

Jake Stringer: 6.7% probability
Peter Wright: 6.4% probability
Kyle Langford: 5.6% probability
Jye Menzie: 4.8% probability
Sam Weideman: 4.2% probability

Adelaide

Taylor Walker: 7.5% probability
Darcy Fogarty: 5.3% probability
Izak Rankine: 4.9% probability
Josh Rachele: 4.0% probability
Luke Pedlar: 3.7% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Essendon

Peter Wright: 87.3% probability
Jake Stringer: 86.6% probability
Kyle Langford: 81.7% probability
Jye Menzie: 74.9% probability
Sam Weideman: 71.7% probability

Adelaide

Taylor Walker: 90.5% probability
Darcy Fogarty: 80.9% probability
Izak Rankine: 77.8% probability
Josh Rachele: 71.4% probability
Luke Pedlar: 66.3% probability

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs Adelaide game at Marvel Stadium.

As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2023

Essendon vs Adelaide: Preview

The AFL Round 17 clash between the Bombers and Crows at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.

Teams: Essendon vs Adelaide
Date: Sunday 9 July 2023
Time: 3:20pm AEST
Venue: Marvel Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our predictions for Essendon vs Adelaide have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.