Essendon vs Port Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2023
Last updated: Jul 1, 2023, 9:21AM | Published: Jun 25, 2023, 10:35AM
Essendon faces the favoured Port Adelaide in AFL Round 16 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 7:25pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Essendon vs Port Adelaide, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 16, 2023
Who Will Win: Essendon vs Port Adelaide
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Essendon-Port Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Power a 69% chance of beating the Bombers in Round 16 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Essendon vs Port Adelaide Match Centre
Essendon vs Port Adelaide: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $3.10, Port Adelaide $1.46
- Line: Essendon +13.5 ($1.91), Port Adelaide -13.5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $1.96, Under $2.02
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Essendon at $3.10 and Port Adelaide at $1.46.
The Bombers are 13.5-point underdogs against the Power, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Power (-13.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.
The Over/Under for Essendon vs Port Adelaide sits at 166.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.96 and odds for the Under at $2.02.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Essendon and Port Adelaide have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The Over/Under total of 166.5 points has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Essendon vs Port Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: P Adelaide at $1.46 with Betfair (69% probability)
- Line: P Adelaide -13.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 166.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
Today's Essendon vs Port Adelaide betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 16
Essendon vs Port Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Port Adelaide at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday has P Adelaide winning 88-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Essendon vs Port Adelaide on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Essendon vs Port Adelaide: Goal Scorers
Searching for Essendon vs Port Adelaide goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Jeremy Finlayson is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs Port Adelaide.
Finlayson has a 7.3% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Power star has an 88.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 6.2% probability
- Jake Stringer: 5.8% probability
- Kyle Langford: 4.5% probability
- Jye Menzie: 3.8% probability
- Sam Weideman: 3.8% probability
Port Adelaide
- Jeremy Finlayson: 7.3% probability
- Todd Marshall: 6.9% probability
- Charlie Dixon: 6.8% probability
- Sam Powell-Pepper: 5.0% probability
- Connor Rozee: 3.9% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 81.6% probability
- Jake Stringer: 80.9% probability
- Kyle Langford: 73.2% probability
- Sam Weideman: 66.0% probability
- Jye Menzie: 64.8% probability
Port Adelaide
- Jeremy Finlayson: 88.3% probability
- Charlie Dixon: 88.3% probability
- Todd Marshall: 87.1% probability
- Sam Powell-Pepper: 73.7% probability
- Connor Rozee: 63.5% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Essendon vs Port Adelaide match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Essendon vs Port Adelaide: Preview
The AFL Round 16 clash between the Bombers and Power at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:25pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Essendon vs Port Adelaide
- Date: Saturday 1 July 2023
- Time: 7:25pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Essendon vs Port Adelaide have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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