Falcons vs Texans Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2023
Last updated: Oct 8, 2023, 5:00PM | Published: Oct 3, 2023, 4:03AM
The Atlanta Falcons square off with the Houston Texans in NFL Week 5 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, beginning at 4:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Falcons vs Texans, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Falcons vs Texans
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Atlanta-Houston NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Falcons a 55% chance of winning against the Texans in Week 5 of the NFL season.
More: Falcons vs Texans Match Centre
Falcons vs Texans: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Falcons $1.71, Texans $2.20
- Line: Falcons -2.5 ($1.91), Texans +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Falcons at $1.71. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Texans at $2.20.
The Falcons are listed as 2.5-point favourites against the Texans, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Texans (+2.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for Falcons vs Texans has been set at 42 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Texans (+2.5) have a 60% chance of covering the line, while the 42-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Falcons vs Texans: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Houston at $2.20 with bet365
- Line: Texans +2.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (60% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 42 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Falcons vs Texans predictions are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Falcons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Texans to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Falcons vs Texans: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Texans at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 5 has the Falcons winning 21-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Atlanta vs Houston in Week 5, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live updates.
Falcons vs Texans: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Texans? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Falcons vs Texans.
Robinson has a 16.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 58.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 16.6% probability
- Drake London: 6.8% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 6.5% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 5.2% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 4.8% probability
Texans First TD Tips
- Dameon Pierce: 10.9% probability
- Nico Collins: 8.8% probability
- Tank Dell: 6.3% probability
- Devin Singletary: 5.7% probability
- Robert Woods: 5.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 58.2% probability
- Drake London: 29.4% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 27.3% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 22.1% probability
- Jonnu Smith: 21.3% probability
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- Dameon Pierce: 43.9% probability
- Nico Collins: 36.1% probability
- Tank Dell: 27.9% probability
- Devin Singletary: 24.8% probability
- Robert Woods: 22.7% probability
Falcons-Texans Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Desmond Ridder is projected for 187 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 228 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Desmond Ridder: 187 projected passing yards
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 228 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 75 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 32 projected yards
- Desmond Ridder: 12 projected yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- Dameon Pierce: 62 projected yards
- Devin Singletary: 27 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 17 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 48 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 37 projected yards
- Jonnu Smith: 36 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 36 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 24 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Nico Collins: 56 projected yards
- Tank Dell: 41 projected yards
- Robert Woods: 38 projected yards
- Dalton Schultz: 21 projected yards
- John Metchie: 15 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Atlanta vs Houston game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Falcons vs Texans: Week 5 Preview
The NFL Week 5 match-up between the Falcons and Texans at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans
- Date: Monday 9 October 2023
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Atlanta vs Houston are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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