Fremantle vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 21, 2023
Last updated: Aug 5, 2023, 1:55PM | Published: Jul 30, 2023, 11:15PM
Fremantle squares off with Brisbane in AFL Round 21 action at Optus Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Fremantle vs Brisbane, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 21, 2023
Who Will Win: Fremantle vs Brisbane
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Fremantle-Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 60% chance of beating the Dockers at Optus Stadium.
More: Fremantle vs Brisbane Match Centre
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $2.74, Brisbane $1.56
- Line: Fremantle +12.5 ($1.87), Brisbane -12.5 ($1.88)
- Total (Over/Under 167.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.89
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Fremantle at $2.74 and Brisbane at $1.56.
The Dockers are 12.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.87 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Lions (-12.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.88.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 167.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.89 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dockers (+12.5) have a 57% chance of covering the line, while the 167.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $2.74 with Betfair (3.7% edge)
- Line: Fremantle +12.5 at $1.87 with Betfair (57% probability)
- Total Points: Under 167.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (55% probability)
Stats Insider's Fremantle vs Brisbane best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dockers to win is our preferred option due to the 3.7% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 21
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Brisbane at Optus Stadium on Sunday has Brisbane winning 85-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Fremantle vs Brisbane on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Goal Scorers
Looking for Fremantle vs Brisbane goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Joe Daniher is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs Brisbane.
Daniher has a 6.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Lions star has an 86.4% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 5.9% probability
- Michael Walters: 5.0% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 4.7% probability
- Michael Frederick: 4.3% probability
- Josh Corbett: 3.4% probability
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 6.6% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 6.6% probability
- Jack Gunston: 5.9% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 5.6% probability
- Zac Bailey: 4.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 79.8% probability
- Michael Walters: 77.2% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 72.5% probability
- Michael Frederick: 69.7% probability
- Sam Sturt: 59.0% probability
Brisbane
- Charlie Cameron: 87.3% probability
- Joe Daniher: 86.4% probability
- Jack Gunston: 80.9% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 76.7% probability
- Zac Bailey: 70.0% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Fremantle vs Brisbane match at Optus Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Preview
The AFL Round 21 clash between the Dockers and Lions at Optus Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:40pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Fremantle vs Brisbane have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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