Geelong vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2023
Last updated: Jul 15, 2023, 9:21AM | Published: Jul 9, 2023, 2:22PM
Geelong faces Essendon in AFL Round 18 action at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, starting at 7:25pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Geelong vs Essendon, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 18, 2023
Who Will Win: Geelong vs Essendon
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Geelong-Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Cats an 81% chance of beating the Bombers in Round 18 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Geelong vs Essendon Match Centre
Geelong vs Essendon: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.29, Essendon $4.30
- Line: Geelong -25.5 ($2.00), Essendon +25.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.84
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $1.29 and Essendon at $4.30.
The Cats are listed as 25.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Bombers (+25.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for Geelong vs Essendon is set at 166.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.08 and odds for the Under at $1.84.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bombers (+25.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 166.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Geelong vs Essendon: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.29 with Betfair (81% probability)
- Line: Essendon +25.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Under 166.5 at $1.84 with Betfair (55% probability)
These Geelong vs Essendon betting tips are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 18
Geelong vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Essendon at GMHBA Stadium this Saturday has Geelong winning 94-69.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Geelong vs Essendon on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Geelong vs Essendon: Goal Kickers
Looking for Geelong vs Essendon goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Tom Hawkins is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs Essendon.
Hawkins has an 8.3% chance of kicking the first goal at GMHBA Stadium, while the Cats star has a 91.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Geelong
- Tom Hawkins: 8.3% probability
- Jeremy Cameron: 7.8% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 5.8% probability
- Gary Rohan: 5.0% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.7% probability
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 5.8% probability
- Jake Stringer: 5.7% probability
- Kyle Langford: 4.6% probability
- Jye Menzie: 3.7% probability
- Archie Perkins: 3.0% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Geelong
- Tom Hawkins: 91.3% probability
- Jeremy Cameron: 89.2% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 79.8% probability
- Gary Rohan: 74.5% probability
- Oliver Henry: 72.7% probability
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 78.2% probability
- Jake Stringer: 77.3% probability
- Kyle Langford: 71.0% probability
- Jye Menzie: 64.8% probability
- Sam Weideman: 55.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Geelong vs Essendon match at GMHBA Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Geelong vs Essendon: Preview
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Cats and Bombers at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:25pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Geelong vs Essendon are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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