Geelong vs Fremantle Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2023
Last updated: Jul 29, 2023, 3:41AM | Published: Jul 24, 2023, 12:40AM
Geelong faces Fremantle in AFL Round 20 action at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 1:45pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Geelong vs Fremantle, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 20, 2023
Who Will Win: Geelong vs Fremantle
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Geelong-Fremantle AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 94% chance of defeating the Dockers at GMHBA Stadium.
More: Geelong vs Fremantle Match Centre
Geelong vs Fremantle: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.09, Fremantle $11.00
- Line: Geelong -49.5 ($2.02), Fremantle +49.5 ($1.96)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $2.14, Under $1.84
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $1.09 and Fremantle at $11.00.
The Cats are 49.5-point favourites against the Dockers, with odds of $2.02 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Dockers (+49.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.96.
The Over/Under for Geelong vs Fremantle sits at 168.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.14 and odds for the Under at $1.84.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dockers (+49.5) have a 59% chance of covering the line, while the 168.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Geelong vs Fremantle: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.09 with Betfair (94% probability)
- Line: Fremantle +49.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (59% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 168.5 at $2.14 with Betfair (2.7% edge)
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips for today across all sports.
Today's Geelong vs Fremantle predictions are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 168.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.14) that are available from Betfair.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 20
Geelong vs Fremantle: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Fremantle at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday has Geelong winning 105-62.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Geelong vs Fremantle on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Geelong vs Fremantle: Goal Kickers
Looking for Geelong vs Fremantle goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Jeremy Cameron is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs Fremantle.
Cameron has a 9.5% chance of kicking the first goal at GMHBA Stadium, while the Cats star has a 92.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 9.5% probability
- Tom Hawkins: 8.7% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 6.9% probability
- Gary Rohan: 5.0% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.9% probability
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 4.7% probability
- Michael Walters: 4.0% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 3.8% probability
- Michael Frederick: 3.3% probability
- Josh Corbett: 2.6% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 92.7% probability
- Tom Hawkins: 91.9% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 83.7% probability
- Oliver Henry: 77.3% probability
- Gary Rohan: 77.1% probability
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 72.6% probability
- Michael Walters: 69.1% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 65.6% probability
- Michael Frederick: 62.4% probability
- Josh Corbett: 54.3% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Geelong vs Fremantle match at GMHBA Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Geelong vs Fremantle: Preview
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Cats and Dockers at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:45pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Geelong vs Fremantle have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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